Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons
Result
6:5
11/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
513
Errors
22
Home Runs
10
Runs batted in
64
Base on Balls
62
Strikeouts
56
Stolen bases
00
At bat
2838
Batting Average
0.1790.342

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
50.3%
Chunichi Dragons
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Chunichi Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chunichi Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.99)

    1.92
    (1.87)
    4.7%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chunichi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:63. (average 2.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 2.3:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons were as follows:
    10.09.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons 3:6
    09.09.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Chunichi Dragons 3:2
    28.08.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 4:3
    27.08.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:0
    26.08.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 0:2
    Latest results of Chunichi Dragons
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers12979347440:3050.627
    2Yomiuri Giants12963363405:3960.500
    3Yokohama BayStars12860563425:4060.488
    4Chunichi Dragons12857269368:4070.452
    5Hiroshima Carp12855568394:4260.447
    6Yakult Swallows12447671365:4940.398


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks12675447479:3520.615
    2Nippon Ham Fighters12774350485:3490.597
    3Orix Buffaloes12564358441:4630.525
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles12358263387:4450.479
    5Seibu Lions12356364335:3730.467
    6Chiba Lotte Marines12448373383:4910.397

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)