Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
77:76
12/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Toledo Rockets
53.4%
Bowling Green Falcons
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toledo Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Rockets than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo Rockets that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bowling Green Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.83)

    2
    (1.87)
    6.8%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 150.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Toledo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bowling Green will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toledo: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toledo Rockets will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2.
    • Toledo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bowling Green's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bowling Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Toledo will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1588:1446. (average 79.4:72.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 839:729. (average 83.9:72.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets 80:70
    24.01.2026 Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons 73:72
    21.02.2025 Toledo Rockets - Bowling Green Falcons 68:69
    24.01.2025 Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets 71:84
    23.02.2024 Bowling Green Falcons - Toledo Rockets 76:68
    Latest results of Toledo Rockets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
    14ByeUCF Knights
    15UConnBye
    16ByeFurman
    17FloridaBye
    18SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58LehighPrairie View A&M
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena
    2Ohio StateTCU
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St
    7UCLAUCF Knights
    8UConnFurman
    9FloridaTBD #18
    10ClemsonIowa
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State
    12NebraskaTroy
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams
    14IllinoisPenn
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M
    16HoustonIdaho
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks
    18VillanovaUtah State
    19WisconsinHigh Point
    20ArkansasHawaii
    21Brigham YoungTexas
    22GonzagaKennesaw State
    23Miami (FL)Missouri
    24PurdueQueens Royals
    25MichiganHoward
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens
    27Texas TechAkron
    28AlabamaHofstra
    29TennesseeTBD #58
    30VirginiaWright State
    31KentuckySanta Clara
    32Iowa StateTennessee State

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2