Fano vs Tolentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Fano - Tolentino
22/01/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fano
37.2%
Draw
29.1%
Tolentino
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.6% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.7% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fano's form might have worsened.
  • Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolentino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fano - Tolentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (1.94)
    3.09
    (2.93)
    2.68
    (3.38)
    11%
    (15.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fano - Tolentino were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Tolentino - Fano 0:0
    Latest results of Fano
    15.01.2023 Pineto - Fano 0:2
    08.01.2023 Fano - Nuova Florida 0:2
    18.12.2022 Chieti - Fano 2:0
    11.12.2022 Fano - Cynthialbalonga 1:1
    Latest results of Tolentino
    15.01.2023 Tolentino - Termoli 1:1
    07.01.2023 Vastese - Tolentino 2:0
    21.12.2022 Roma City - Tolentino 1:1
    18.12.2022 Tolentino - Porto D'Ascoli 0:1
    11.12.2022 Trastevere - Tolentino 1:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1