Vastese vs Tolentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Vastese - Tolentino
07/01/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Vastese
35.2%
Draw
29.7%
Tolentino
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 25.1% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 24.8% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vastese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vastese's form might have worsened.
  • Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolentino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vastese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vastese - Tolentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (1.77)
    3.01
    (3.6)
    2.55
    (3.82)
    11.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vastese - Tolentino were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Tolentino - Vastese 1:1
    Latest results of Vastese
    21.12.2022 Vastese - Pineto 1:4
    18.12.2022 Nuova Florida - Vastese 1:0
    11.12.2022 Vastese - Notaresco 1:1
    04.12.2022 Chieti - Vastese 0:0
    20.11.2022 Montegiorgio - Vastese 3:0
    Latest results of Tolentino
    21.12.2022 Roma City - Tolentino 1:1
    18.12.2022 Tolentino - Porto D'Ascoli 0:1
    11.12.2022 Trastevere - Tolentino 1:2
    07.12.2022 Pineto - Tolentino 5:1
    04.12.2022 Tolentino - Avezzano 1:2
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare55008:2615
    2Notaresco Calcio541011:4713
    3Ancona54018:4412
    4L Aquila532011:5611
    5Teramo532010:4611
    6Unipomezia52217:618
    7Calcio Chieti51408:717
    8Fossombrone51405:417
    9Termoli52127:707
    10Maceratese52035:506
    11Sora51226:605
    12Giulianova51225:8-35
    13Recanatese51137:10-34
    14Vigor Senigallia51133:7-44
    15San Marino Calcio51044:8-43
    16Sammaurese51045:10-53
    17Atletico Ascoli50235:10-52
    18Castelfidardo50051:9-80

          Promotion
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          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation