Result
3:2 penalties
19/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:16, 1 - 0, Rastorguyev S. (G), Kozhevnikov R. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:15, 1 - 1, Buzdyganov V. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:29, 2 - 1, Gataullin A. (G), Rastorguyev S. (A), Sivirchukov V. (A2)
- 13:21, 2 - 2, Nabiev A. (G), Pykhtin D. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Dubovets Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Buzdyganov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kovalenko A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Nabiev A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Belye Medvedi
27.8% | Draw
21.9% | Tolpar
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belye Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belye Medvedi's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belye Medvedi than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belye Medvedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Belye Medvedi - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.27) |
4.23 ↑
(4.05) |
1.85 ↓
(2.44) |
7.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Belye Medvedi - Tolpar?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tolpar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Belye Medvedi is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
- Tolpar is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belye Medvedi won 1.
- Belye Medvedi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tolpar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Belye Medvedi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Belye Medvedi has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.
- Tolpar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belye Medvedi won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:67. (average 3.2:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belye Medvedi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 3.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Belye Medvedi won against Tolpar?
Belye Medvedi has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Belye Medvedi?
Tolpar has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belye Medvedi - Tolpar were as follows:
25.01.2026
Tolpar
-
Belye Medvedi
6:2
10.11.2025
Tolpar
-
Belye Medvedi
3:2
29.10.2025
Belye Medvedi
-
Tolpar
3:2
26.08.2025
Tolpar
-
Belye Medvedi
5:2
10.03.2025
Belye Medvedi
-
Tolpar
2:5
Latest results of Belye Medvedi
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Loko | Bye | |
| 2 | Din. St. Petersburg | Tayfun | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dyn. Moscow | Bye | |
| 4 | Dinamo-Shinnik | Krylya Sovetov | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Omskie Yastreby | Bye | |
| 6 | Mamonty Yugry | Sibirskie Snaipery | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Irbis | Bye | |
| 8 | Chaika | Ladya | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | MHC Spartak | Bye | |
| 10 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | SKA-Akademiya | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | SKA-1946 | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Krasnaya Armiya | |
| 13 | Stalnye Lisy | Bye | |
| 14 | Belye Medvedi | Loko-76 | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tolpar | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Avto | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Loko | Din. St. Petersburg | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | Dinamo-Shinnik | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Omskie Yastreby | Sibirskie Snaipery | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Irbis | Chaika | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | SKA-1946 | Krasnaya Armiya | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Stalnye Lisy | Belye Medvedi | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tolpar | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Loko | Dinamo-Shinnik | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Omskie Yastreby | Chaika | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | MHC Spartak | Krasnaya Armiya | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Stalnye Lisy | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Loko | Chaika | |
| 2 | MHC Spartak | Avto | |
