Tom Gentzsch vs Timofey Skatov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 10:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
74%72%
1st serve points won
75% (36/48)83% (35/42)
2nd serve points won
29% (5/17)63% (10/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
17% (7/42)25% (12/48)
2nd return points won
38% (6/16)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)50% (2/4)
Winners
1820
Unforced errors
2519
Net points won
63% (5/8)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
63% (41/65)78% (45/58)
Return Points Won
22% (13/58)37% (24/65)
Total Points Won
44% (54/123)56% (69/123)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
80% (8/10)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Tom Gentzsch
42.3%
Timofey Skatov
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Gentzsch that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofey Skatov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.23)

    1.63
    (1.58)
    5.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Tom Gentzsch - Timofey Skatov?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gentzsch will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tom Gentzsch will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 245. Skatov is ranked ATP: 195.
    • Recent performances by Gentzsch have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Skatov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Skatov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tom Gentzsch
    Latest results of Timofey Skatov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2