Tomas Machac vs Brandon Nakashima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
spainSpainM+ Deportes 2, Movistar Deportes 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
59%64%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (33/47)74% (39/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (18/32)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
26% (14/53)30% (14/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (14/30)44% (14/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
65% (51/79)66% (55/83)
Return Points Won
34% (28/83)35% (28/79)
Total Points Won
49% (79/162)51% (83/162)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Tomas Machac
61.1%
Brandon Nakashima
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.55)

    2.46
    (2.46)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 51.5%92.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Machac is ranked ATP: 25. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 42.
    • Machac is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Nakashima is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Machac will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)2 : 1
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Kecmanovic M.
    2TBD #3Jodar R.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Kovacevic A.
    6TBD #11Davidovich Fokina A. (4)
    7Vacherot V. (6)TBD #14
    8Nakashima B.Kypson P.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2