Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	5
Double Faults
2	2
1st Serve Percentage
61%	74%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (29/45)	68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)	53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)	67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
32% (17/53)	36% (16/45)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (9/19)	48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)	60% (3/5)
Winners
22	18
Unforced Errors
24	27
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)	64% (49/77)
Return Points Won
36% (28/77)	41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
48% (72/151)	52% (79/151)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)	83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)	25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)	54% (13/24)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi
35.3%

Tomas Machac
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)		1.47 ↑ (1.45)	5.2% (4.9%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 62.2% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Machac is ranked ATP: 21.
Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Machac is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Machac will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Tomas Machac?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Tomas Machac has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac were as follows:

09.05.2024 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi Canceled

26.03.2024 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0

26.02.2023 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

20.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Yibing Wu 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tomas Machac

07.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki Machac T. retired ✺

01.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima 2:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Learner Tien - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Daniel Altmaier - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
3	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Korda S. (32)
5	Darderi L. (17)	Bye
6	Giron M.	Landaluce M. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Duckworth J.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (14)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Quinn E.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 0
11	Kouame M. (WC)	Svajda Z. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Lehecka J. (21)
13	Draper J. (25)	Bye
14	Opelka R.	Borges N.	2 : 1
15	Shapovalov D.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (6)
17	Vukic A. (LL)	Bye
18	Jodar R. (Q)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Bergs Z.	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
21	Paul T. (22)	Bye
22	Zhang Z. (PR)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
23	Collignon R.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (13)
25	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
27	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Navone M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vacherot V. (24)
29	Fils A. (28)	Bye
30	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
31	Tsitsipas S.	Fery A. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
33	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
35	Diallo G.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Humbert U. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (18)	Bye
38	Royer V.	Tirante T. A. (LL)	1 : 2
39	Kovacevic A.	Sakamoto R. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (9)
41	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Draxl L. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Majchrzak K.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Tien L. (20)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Cilic M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
47	Damm M. (WC)	Fearnley J. (RET.)	1 : 0
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Bye
50	O'Connell C. (Q)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
51	Atmane T.	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
53	Tiafoe F. (19)	Bye
54	Cazaux A.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Walton A. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Rublev A. (15)	Bye
58	Tabilo A.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
59	Michelsen A.	Bellucci M. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Norrie C. (23)
61	Moutet C. (30)	Bye
62	Nava E.	Machac T.	1 : 2
63	Buse I. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
2	Ugo Carabelli C.	Korda S. (32)	0 : 2
3	Darderi L. (17)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (14)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Quinn E.	0 : 2
6	Kouame M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
7	Draper J. (25)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	Fritz T. (6)	1 : 2
9	Vukic A.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (22)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
12	Collignon R.	Cobolli F. (13)	2 : 0
13	Bublik A. (10)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
14	Navone M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (28)	Blanch Dar.	2 : 0
16	Tsitsipas S.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 0
17	Shelton B. (8)	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
18	Diallo G.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (18)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
20	Sakamoto R.	Medvedev D. (9)	1 : 2
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
22	Majchrzak K.	Tien L. (20)	2 : 1
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Cilic M.	1 : 2
24	Damm M.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Fucsovics M.	2 : 0
26	Atmane T.	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 0
27	Tiafoe F. (19)	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
28	Walton A.	Mensik J. (12)	1 : 2
29	Rublev A. (15)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
30	Michelsen A.	Norrie C. (23)	2 : 1
31	Moutet C. (30)	Machac T.	2 : 1
32	Dzumhur D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Korda S. (32)	1 : 2
2	Landaluce M.	Khachanov K. (14)	2 : 0
3	Quinn E.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
4	Opelka R.	Fritz T. (6)	0 : 2
5	Jodar R.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
6	Paul T. (22)	Collignon R.	2 : 1
7	Berrettini M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
8	Fils A. (28)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
9	Shevchenko A.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
10	Cerundolo F. (18)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 1
11	Halys Q.	Majchrzak K.	2 : 0
12	Cilic M.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
14	Tiafoe F. (19)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Tabilo A.	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Moutet C. (30)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (32)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J. (21)	Fritz T. (6)	2 : 1
3	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Paul T. (22)	0 : 2
4	Vacherot V. (24)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Humbert U. (31)	Cerundolo F. (18)	0 : 2
6	Halys Q.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Atmane T.	Tiafoe F. (19)	1 : 2
8	Michelsen A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Landaluce M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
2	Paul T. (22)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (18)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (19)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Lehecka J. (21)	Fils A. (28)	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Lehecka J. (21)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2