Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 74% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 68% (36/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 53% (10/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 36% (16/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (44/74) | 64% (49/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (28/77) | 41% (30/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (72/151) | 52% (79/151) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
35.3% | Tomas Machac
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.78) |
|
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
5.2%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Machac is ranked ATP: 21.
- Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Machac is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Machac will have a small advantage in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.53.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Tomas Machac?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Tomas Machac has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac were as follows:
09.05.2024
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
Canceled
26.03.2024
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
2:0
26.02.2023
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
2:0
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Wong C. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | Riedi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Willwerth B. (WC) | van Assche L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Dedura D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Landaluce M. | McDonald M. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vukic A. (4) | Harris B. | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Barrios Vera T. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (5) | Draxl L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Clarke J. | Mochizuki S. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Walton A. (6) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sweeny D. | Hijikata R. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bellucci M. (7) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cassone M. (Alt) | Maestrelli F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kypson P. (8) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bolt A. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Blockx A. (9) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Mejia N. | O'Connell C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Burruchaga R. A. (10) | Fery A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bu Y. | Schoolkate T. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Svajda Z. (11) | Smith C. | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Svrcina D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Jodar R. (12) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Miguel G. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Wong C. (21) | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | van Assche L. (13) | |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Landaluce M. | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | Barrios Vera T. (18) | |
| 5 | Draxl L. | Clarke J. | |
| 6 | Walton A. (6) | Hijikata R. (19) | |
| 7 | Bellucci M. (7) | Cassone M. | |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | |
| 9 | Blockx A. (9) | O'Connell C. (23) | |
| 10 | Fery A. | Bu Y. | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 12 | Jodar R. (12) | Bonzi B. (15) | |
