Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 74% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 68% (36/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 53% (10/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 67% (4/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 36% (16/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (44/74) | 64% (49/77) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (28/77) | 41% (30/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (72/151) | 52% (79/151) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
35.3% | Tomas Machac
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.78) |
|
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
5.2%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Machac is ranked ATP: 21.
- Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Machac is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Machac will have a small advantage in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.53.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Tomas Machac?
Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Tomas Machac has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac were as follows:
09.05.2024
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
Canceled
26.03.2024
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
2:0
26.02.2023
Tomas Machac
-
Matteo Arnaldi
2:0
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | |
| 5 | Fils A. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diallo G. (LL) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Struff J-L. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (16) | |
| 9 | Rune H. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Eubanks C. (WC) | Opelka R. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Arnaldi M. | Wu Y. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (20) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Safiullin R. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Mensik J. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Draper J. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Sonego L. | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Tirante T. A. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (27) | |
| 21 | Walton A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Martinez P. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Wong C. (WC) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Shelton B. (13) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bu Y. | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Fonseca J. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (19) | |
| 29 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Gaston H. (LL) | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Bergs Z. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rublev A. (8) | |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Rinderknech A. | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Lehecka J. (26) | |
| 37 | Korda S. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Spizzirri E. (WC) | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (9) | |
| 41 | Musetti L. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Seyboth Wild T. | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. (LL) | Holt B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Hijikata R. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | Ruud C. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Kovacevic A. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Blockx A. (Q) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tabilo A. (30) | |
| 53 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Bye | |
| 54 | Muller A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Bublik A. | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Paul T. (12) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Comesana F. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | McDonald M. (Q) | Kyrgios N. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Khachanov K. (22) | |
| 61 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | O'Connell C. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Vukic A. | Goffin D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fils A. (17) | Diallo G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Tiafoe F. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (11) | Opelka R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Machac T. (20) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Safiullin R. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mensik J. | Draper J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Walton A. (LL) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Shelton B. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fonseca J. | Humbert U. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Berrettini M. (29) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bergs Z. | Rublev A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Monfils G. | Lehecka J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Korda S. (24) | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Tseng C. H. | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Musetti L. (15) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Schoolkate T. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (32) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Hijikata R. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Ruud C. (5) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Moutet C. | Tabilo A. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bublik A. | Paul T. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Cina F. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Kyrgios N. | Khachanov K. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Nakashima B. (31) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Goffin D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Thompson J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fils A. (17) | Tiafoe F. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Opelka R. | Machac T. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Safiullin R. | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Shapovalov D. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Walton A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (10) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Munar J. | Monfils G. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Korda S. (24) | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Musetti L. (15) | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (5) | Tabilo A. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Paul T. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Khachanov K. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nakashima B. (31) | Goffin D. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fils A. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machac T. (20) | Mensik J. (WO.) | |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (10) | Berrettini M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Monfils G. | Korda S. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Musetti L. (15) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (5) | Cerundolo F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fils A. (17) | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (3) | Berrettini M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Korda S. (24) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mensik J. | Fritz T. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mensik J. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
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