Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	5
Double Faults
2	2
1st Serve Percentage
61%	74%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (29/45)	68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)	53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)	67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
32% (17/53)	36% (16/45)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (9/19)	48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)	60% (3/5)
Winners
22	18
Unforced Errors
24	27
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)	64% (49/77)
Return Points Won
36% (28/77)	41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
48% (72/151)	52% (79/151)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)	83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)	25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)	54% (13/24)

Chances of winning

Matteo Arnaldi
35.3%

Tomas Machac
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)		1.47 ↑ (1.45)	5.2% (4.9%)

What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Machac will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 62.2% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35. Machac is ranked ATP: 21.
Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Machac is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Machac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Machac will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Tomas Machac?

Matteo Arnaldi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Matteo Arnaldi?

Tomas Machac has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac were as follows:

09.05.2024 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi Canceled

26.03.2024 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0

26.02.2023 Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi 2:0

Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi

20.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Yibing Wu 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tomas Machac

07.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki Machac T. retired ✺

01.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima 2:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Learner Tien - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Daniel Altmaier - Tomas Machac 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)	1 : 2
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J. (WO.)
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)	0 : 2
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	1 : 2
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fils A. (17)	Mensik J.	0 : 2
2	Fritz T. (3)	Berrettini M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Korda S. (24)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (23)	Dimitrov G. (14)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mensik J.	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Dimitrov G. (14)	2 : 0

Final

1

Mensik J.

Djokovic N. (4)

2 : 0