Result
2:1
08/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 57% (31/54) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 38% (9/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 42% (5/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 37% (17/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 63% (25/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (5/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 49 | 32 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (46/84) | 50% (39/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (39/78) | 45% (38/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (85/162) | 48% (77/162) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 46% (6/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 38% (5/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 42% (11/26) |
Chances of winning
Tomas Machac
54.7% | Sebastian Baez
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.64) |
|
2.08 ↓
(2.27) |
6%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Baez will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Baez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Machac is ranked ATP: 21. Baez is ranked ATP: 36.
- Machac in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Baez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Machac will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.61.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Sebastian Baez?
Tomas Machac has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Tomas Machac?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (Q) | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (RET.) (10) | Borges N. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Martinez P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (6) | |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Struff J-L. | Vacherot V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Jarry N. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (9) | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Muller A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Etcheverry T. M. | Moutet C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Popyrin A. | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bautista-Agut R. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 25 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Griekspoor T. | Fils A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Auger-Aliassime F. (16) | Altmaier D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Arnaldi M. | Gasquet R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fognini F. (WC) | Cerundolo F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Thompson J. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Machac T. | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Etcheverry T. M. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Ruud C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cobolli F. | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gasquet R. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Cerundolo F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Berrettini M. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (7) | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (15) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fils A. (12) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | De Minaur A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
