Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/01/2026 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Gem, Stan Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV7
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
62%68%
1st serve points won
75% (45/60)73% (49/67)
2nd serve points won
41% (15/37)58% (18/31)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)75% (3/4)
1st return points won
27% (18/67)25% (15/60)
2nd return points won
42% (13/31)59% (22/37)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)33% (4/12)
Winners
3328
Unforced errors
4627
Net points won
73% (11/15)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
62% (60/97)68% (67/98)
Return Points Won
32% (31/98)38% (37/97)
Total Points Won
47% (91/195)53% (104/195)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (11/15)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)27% (4/15)
Total games won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Ugo Humbert
56.4%
Tomas Machac
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 46.4%

Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.69
(1.62)

2.18
(2.24)
5.2%
(6.5%)
What is the prediction for Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Machac will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Humbert (votes: 3 - 60%). Machac (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Machac (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Machac (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Humbert (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Machac (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humbert is ranked ATP: 36. Machac is ranked ATP: 35.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Humbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Tomas Machac - Ugo Humbert 1:2
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Bye
    2Schoolkate T. (WC)Hijikata R. (WC)0 : 2
    3Kokkinakis T.Korda S.2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Vacherot V. (5)0 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Humbert U.Atmane T.2 : 0
    7Quinn E.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    8Dzumhur D.Shevchenko A. (Q)1 : 2
    9Machac T. (8)Duckworth J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Fearnley J. (LL)Halys Q. (Q)0 : 2
    11Altmaier D.Munar J.0 : 2
    12ByeCerundolo F. (3)
    13Tsitsipas S. (7)Vukic A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Vavassori A. (Q)Diallo G.2 : 0
    15Opelka R.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    16ByePaul T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Hijikata R.2 : 0
    2Kokkinakis T.Vacherot V. (WO.) (5)
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Humbert U.0 : 2
    4Fucsovics M.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    5Machac T. (8)Halys Q.2 : 0
    6Munar J.Cerundolo F. (3)2 : 1
    7Vukic A.Vavassori A.2 : 0
    8Opelka R.Paul T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Vacherot V. (5)2 : 0
    2Humbert U.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    3Machac T. (8)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Paul T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Humbert U.1 : 2
    2Machac T. (8)Paul T. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Humbert U.Machac T. (8)1 : 2