Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Result
0:2
21/05/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
53%60%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (31/42)78% (32/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (17/38)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
22% (9/41)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)55% (21/38)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)17% (2/12)
Winners
2520
Unforced Errors
3321
Net Points Won
60% (3/5)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
60% (48/80)68% (46/68)
Return Points Won
32% (22/68)40% (32/80)
Total Points Won
47% (70/148)53% (78/148)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
43.1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.95)

    1.67
    (1.85)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 52. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 55.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 2.
    • Ugo Carabelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Etcheverry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2