Result
3:1
02/09/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Czech-republic | HBO Max |
Match Stats
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| Aces |
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| 9 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
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| 5 | 11 |
| 1st serve percentage |
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| 61% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
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| 74% (53/72) | 57% (49/86) |
| 2nd serve points won |
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| 43% (20/47) | 51% (23/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
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| 8/12 | 11/18 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
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| 199 km/h | 183 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
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| 145 km/h | 165 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
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| 44% (38/86) | 32% (23/72) |
| 2nd return points won |
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| 49% (22/45) | 57% (27/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
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| 7/18 | 4/12 |
| Winners |
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| 31 | 33 |
| Unforced errors |
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| 41 | 56 |
| Net points won |
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| 72% (13/18) | 79% (22/28) |
| Service Points Won |
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| 61% (73/120) | 55% (73/133) |
| Return Points Won |
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| 45% (60/133) | 39% (47/120) |
| Total Points Won |
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| 53% (133/253) | 47% (120/253) |
| Last 10 balls |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
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| 78% (14/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Return games won |
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| 39% (7/18) | 22% (4/18) |
| Total games won |
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| 58% (21/36) | 42% (15/36) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
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| 2613 | 2687 |
Chances of winning
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 55.9% | Jacob Fearnley 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Martin Etcheverry that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (2.43) |
|
2.18 ↑ (1.62) |
4.5% (3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 38.50
What is the prediction for Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Fearnley will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 1st Set - Fearnley (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 20%). Fearnley (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 32. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 101.
- Recent form of Etcheverry has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fearnley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Martin Etcheverry won against Jacob Fearnley?
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jacob Fearnley won against Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
Jacob Fearnley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley were as follows:
Latest results of Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Sonego L. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Halys Q. | Diaz Acosta F. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (Q) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Hanfmann Y. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (21) | Wendelken H. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Royer V. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Sweeny D. (WC) | Moutet C. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fery A. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Jodar R. (12) | Bu Y. (LL) | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Zheng M. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Svajda Z. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Cerundolo J. M. | Gea A. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Bergs Z. (31) | Taberner C. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Passaro F. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Choinski J. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Molcan A. | Bonzi B. | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Giron M. | Buse I. (32) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (17) | Mochizuki S. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Rodionov J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 0 |
| 23 | Vallejo D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Borges N. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (9) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bellucci M. | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Misolic F. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Blockx A. (28) | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Shang J. | Trungelliti M. | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Comesana F. | Cobolli F. (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gaston H. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Gorzny S. (WC) | Collignon R. | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Atmane T. | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Shimabukuro S. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Vacherot V. (22) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Majchrzak K. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Vukic A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Damm M. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Nakashima B. (16) | Baez S. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Michelsen A. | Cina F. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Merida Aguilar D. | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Virtanen O. (LL) | Rublev A. (23) | 2 : 3 |
| 45 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 46 | Landaluce M. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Navone M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Griekspoor T. | 3 : 1 |
| 50 | Dzumhur D. | Hurkacz H. | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Kecmanovic M. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 3 |
| 52 | van Assche L. | Norrie C. (29) | 3 : 1 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (18) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Samuel T. (Q) | Machac T. | 3 : 0 |
| 55 | Harris L. (Q) | Kennedy J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | Tsitsipas S. | Fils A. (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 57 | Bublik A. (15) | Wolf J.J. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Tirante T. A. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Prizmic D. | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 2 |
| 60 | Wong C. (Q) | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 61 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Duckworth J. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Wu Y. | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 63 | Faria J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Safiullin R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Halys Q. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (21) | Svrcina D. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Sweeny D. | Musetti L. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Bu Y. | Zheng M. | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Svajda Z. | Gea A. | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. (31) | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Khachanov K. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Buse I. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (17) | Rodionov J. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (9) | Bellucci M. | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Blockx A. (28) | Trungelliti M. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Schoolkate T. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gorzny S. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Vacherot V. (22) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Sakamoto R. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Nakashima B. (16) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 3 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Rublev A. (23) | 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Hurkacz H. | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Shapovalov D. | van Assche L. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (18) | Samuel T. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Harris L. | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (15) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Prizmic D. | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Duckworth J. | Wu Y. | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Faria J. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Tabilo A. (25) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Darderi L. (21) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Gea A. | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bergs Z. (31) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (17) | Tien L. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Fritz T. (9) | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Blockx A. (28) | Cobolli F. (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Vacherot V. (22) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Merida Aguilar D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Shapovalov D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Lehecka J. (18) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Bublik A. (15) | Paul T. (20) | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Wu Y. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Darderi L. (21) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Gea A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. | Tien L. (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (24) | Blockx A. (28) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (7) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Paul T. (20) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | |
| 2 | Khachanov K. | Blockx A. (28) | |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (11) | Michelsen A. | |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal