Algodoneros de Guasave vs Tomateros de Culiacán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:8
15/01/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LMP - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoLMP Canal Youtube

Match Stats

Hits
49
Errors
41
2B - double
11
3B - triple
00
Home runs
00
Runs batted in
15
Left on base
66
Base on balls
45
Strikeouts
75
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3034
Batting average
0.1330.265

Chances of winning


Algodoneros de Guasave
44.5%
Tomateros de Culiacán
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algodoneros de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tomateros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algodoneros de Guasave than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomateros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Algodoneros de Guasave - Tomateros de Culiacán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.15)

    1.67
    (1.62)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tomateros Culiacan leads series 3-0. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 0.
    • Algodoneros is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tomateros is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Algodoneros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tomateros has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Tomateros will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 64:102. (average 3.2:5.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Algodoneros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:58. (average 3.4:5.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algodoneros de Guasave - Tomateros de Culiacán were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Algodoneros de Guasave - Tomateros de Culiacán 2:4
    12.01.2026 Tomateros de Culiacán - Algodoneros de Guasave 6:4
    11.01.2026 Tomateros de Culiacán - Algodoneros de Guasave 6:0
    21.12.2025 Tomateros de Culiacán - Algodoneros de Guasave 8:0
    20.12.2025 Tomateros de Culiacán - Algodoneros de Guasave 6:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Caneros Mochis (5)4 : 3
    2Jaguares de Nayarit (1)Algodoneros (8)1 : 4
    3Hermosillo (3)Jalisco (6)2 : 4
    4Yaquis de Obregon (2)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Algodoneros (8)4 : 0
    2Jalisco (6)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1Tomateros (4)Jalisco (6)0 : 4