Tombense vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro Tombense - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:2
22/02/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Mineiro - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Misson M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
313
Shots on Goal
05
Shots off Goal
25
Blocked Shots
13
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Offsides
03
Fouls
97
Yellow Cards
33
Passes
82% (195/238)86% (260/304)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Julio Henrique 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Rony , Cuello (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Julio Henrique , Dorival ,
  • 46', Jefferson Renan , Lucas Mila ,
  • 50', Hulk , Alisson ,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Roger Carvalho (Own goal),
  • 62', Lucas Mila 🟨,
  • 70', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 72', Anderson Ligeiro (Pen),
  • 73', Cuello , Deyverson ,
  • 73', Rony , Bernard ,
  • 78', Gabriel Menino , Rubens ,
  • 78', Gustavo Scarpa , Igor Gomes ,
  • 79', Anderson Ligeiro , Cleiton ,
  • 87', Alisson 🟨,
  • 88', Roger Carvalho 🟨,
  • 88', Deyverson 🟨,
  • 90+1', Joao Vitor , Tarcisio ,

Chances of winning


Tombense
17.8%
Draw
26.6%
Atlético Mineiro
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 28% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3% 27.6% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Tombense - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.17
    (5.6)
    3.46
    (3.3)
    1.65
    (1.67)
    8.8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0.
    • Recent matches Tombense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético MG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.5:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3:14 (average 0.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Tombense 2:0
    14.02.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Tombense 1:1
    29.01.2023 Tombense - Atlético Mineiro 1:2
    Latest results of Tombense
    12.02.2025 Villa Nova AC - Tombense 0:2
    05.02.2025 Tombense - Aymorés 1:0
    01.02.2025 Athletic Club - Tombense 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    5th-8th places

    Semi-finals
    1UberlandiaBetim2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Democrata GVAthletic Club0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1UberlandiaAthletic Club2 : 3, 0 : 2