Result
2:3
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 6
- Referee: Cardoso H. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/390) | 80% (265/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/390) | 80% (265/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (17/46) | 38% (27/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (67/116) | 45% (27/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (6/39) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.04 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Pedro Oliveira ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Julio Cesar ⚽,
- 22', Pedro Rodrigues 🟨,
- 24', Pedro Rodrigues ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
- 29', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Serginho (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+4', Wallace 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joao Vitor ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 55', Gleisinho ↓, Denzel ↑,
- 55', Luis Araujo ↓, Nathan Zamith ↑,
- 55', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 58', Wanderson 🟨,
- 59', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 59', Julio Cesar ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 67', Jefferson Renan ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 75', Romario ↓, Gabriel Morbeck ↑,
- 75', Wallace ↓, Kevlin ↑,
- 79', Rafinha ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 83', 2 - 2, Denzel ⚽, Matheus Galdino (A),
- 87', Victor Ferreira 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Dyego ⚽, Cleiton (A),
- 90+4', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 90+8', Kevlin 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabirito
34.7% | Draw
29.6% | Tombense
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Itabirito - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3) |
3.11 ↑
(3) |
2.57 ↑
(2.3) |
8.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Itabirito - Tombense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Itabirito is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tombense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Itabirito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tombense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabirito won against Tombense?
Itabirito has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Itabirito?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabirito - Tombense were as follows:
22.01.2025
Tombense
-
Itabirito
1:0
Latest results of Itabirito
Latest results of Tombense
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
