Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 1', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
- 6', Lucas Mila 🟨,
- 45+4', Roger Carvalho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, Pablo Ruan ⚽,
- 59', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
- 59', Claudinei Oliveira 🟨,
- 60', Douglas Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 60', Ingro ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Rafael Silva (Pen),
- 71', Henrique ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Franca ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 75', Pablo Ruan ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 79', 🟨,
- 86', Fabricio Dias ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
- 86', Julio Henrique ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
- 89', Joao Vitor ↓, Cedric ↑,
- 89', Mauricio Junior ↓, Rafael Soares ↑,
- 90+5', Pedro Oliveira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Londrina
52.3% | Draw
28.1% | Tombense
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Londrina - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.85) |
3.26 ↓
(3.32) |
4.69 ↑
(3.95) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Londrina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Londrina is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Tombense?
Londrina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Londrina?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Londrina - Tombense were as follows:
01.07.2024
Londrina
-
Tombense
3:3
01.09.2023
Londrina
-
Tombense
1:1
19.05.2023
Tombense
-
Londrina
0:2
16.09.2022
Tombense
-
Londrina
1:1
Latest results of Londrina
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Brusque | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 23 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
