Londrina vs Tombense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
105
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
  • 6', Lucas Mila 🟨,
  • 45+4', Roger Carvalho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Pablo Ruan ,
  • 59', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
  • 59', Claudinei Oliveira 🟨,
  • 60', Douglas Coutinho , Joao Pedro ,
  • 60', Ingro , Pedro Oliveira ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Rafael Silva (Pen),
  • 71', Henrique , Thauan ,
  • 71', Gustavo Franca , Vitinho ,
  • 75', Pablo Ruan , Edson Carius ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 86', Fabricio Dias , Tarcisio ,
  • 86', Julio Henrique , Andre Cardoso ,
  • 89', Joao Vitor , Cedric ,
  • 89', Mauricio Junior , Rafael Soares ,
  • 90+5', Pedro Oliveira 🟨,

Chances of winning


Londrina
52.3%
Draw
28.1%
Tombense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 27.5% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 26.8% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Londrina - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.85)
    3.26
    (3.32)
    4.69
    (3.95)
    9.1%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Londrina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Londrina is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Londrina - Tombense were as follows:
    01.07.2024 Londrina - Tombense 3:3
    01.09.2023 Londrina - Tombense 1:1
    19.05.2023 Tombense - Londrina 0:2
    16.09.2022 Tombense - Londrina 1:1
    Latest results of Londrina
    05.05.2025 São Bernardo - Londrina 0:0
    26.04.2025 Londrina - Maringá 1:1
    20.04.2025 Floresta - Londrina 0:2
    14.04.2025 Londrina - Ypiranga 3:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    27.04.2025 Ituano - Tombense 3:1
    21.04.2025 Tombense - Figueirense 3:2
    13.04.2025 Retrô Brasil - Tombense 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas44007:0712
    2Brusque43108:5310
    3Guarani52307:439
    4Paysandu PA42207:348
    5Floresta EC42205:328
    6Inter de Limeira52217:618
    7Ypiranga FC42117:437
    8Ituano42117:527
    9Botafogo PB42025:416
    10SER Caxias42024:406
    11Maringa FC42029:10-16
    12Barra FC41216:425
    13Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    14Figueirense41125:8-34
    15Maranhao41123:7-44
    16Volta Redonda41032:5-33
    17Confianca51042:5-33
    18Anapolis41034:8-43
    19Ferroviaria40224:7-32
    20Itabaiana40133:8-51

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D