Result
1:0
07/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Elvis 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Lucas Candido 🟨,
- 57', Rafael Silva 🟨,
- 65', Lucas Candido ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Elvis (Pen),
- 74', Jeh 🟨,
- 76', Dudu ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
- 76', Everton Brito ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
- 79', Lucas Mila ↓, Adson ↑,
- 79', Rafael Silva ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 79', Jean Dias ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 79', Elvis ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 85', Ze Eduardo ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 85', Jefferson Renan ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
- 89', Rickson ↓, Andre Cardoso ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
48.1% | Draw
31% | Tombense
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ponte Preta - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.72) |
2.92 ↓
(3.13) |
4.35 ↓
(4.83) |
10.2%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Tombense?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).
- Ponte Preta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tombense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ponte Preta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Tombense?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Ponte Preta?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Tombense were as follows:
11.11.2023
Tombense
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
15.07.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Tombense
0:1
15.10.2022
Tombense
-
Ponte Preta
0:0
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
