Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (134/193) | 83% (347/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (134/193) | 83% (347/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 63% (32/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (45/82) | 69% (85/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Andrade F. ⚽, Cesar (A),
- 17', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 19', Wesley 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira ⚽,
- 45+12', 2 - 1, Andrade F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hippolito ↓, Vitor Gottems ↑,
- 55', 🟨,
- 56', Diego Leandro 🟨,
- 66', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 68', Diego Leandro ↓, PH ↑,
- 73', Jupi ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
- 73', Rafinha ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Gabriel Moyses ⚽,
- 82', Wesley ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
- 84', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 87', Dyego 🟨,
- 88', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 88', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 90', Cesar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 90+1', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Ditinho ↑,
- 90+5', Andrade F. ↓, Evson ↑,
- 90+5', Julio Henrique 🟥,
Chances of winning
URT
34.1% | Draw
33.2% | Tombense
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for URT than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
URT - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(3.05) |
2.74 ↓
(2.97) |
2.79 ↑
(2.37) |
9.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for URT - Tombense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - URT (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. URT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URT won 1.
- In recent matches, URT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tombense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- URT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, URT won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, URT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has URT won against Tombense?
URT has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against URT?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between URT - Tombense were as follows:
20.02.2026
Tombense
-
URT
0:1
07.02.2026
Tombense
-
URT
3:1
Latest results of Tombense
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
