Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2025 at 19:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
19	17
Double Faults
10	2
1st Serve Percentage
59%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (52/66)	79% (46/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (22/46)	64% (27/42)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)	75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
21% (12/58)	21% (14/66)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (15/42)	52% (24/46)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)	17% (2/12)
Winners
42	39
Unforced Errors
48	27
Net Points Won
54% (7/13)	60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
66% (74/112)	73% (73/100)
Return Points Won
27% (27/100)	34% (38/112)
Total Points Won
48% (101/212)	52% (111/212)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)	94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)	12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)	53% (18/34)

Chances of winning

Alexander Bublik
24.4%

Tommy Paul
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.66)		1.25 ↓ (1.29)	5.4% (4.8%)

What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paul will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 76.1% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Bublik is ranked ATP: 80. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Paul is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Tommy Paul?

Alexander Bublik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Alexander Bublik?

Tommy Paul has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul were as follows:

05.07.2024 Tommy Paul - Alexander Bublik 3:0

Latest results of Alexander Bublik

19.03.2025 Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik 0:2 ✺

14.03.2025 Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik 1:2 ✺

13.03.2025 Rinky Hijikata - Alexander Bublik 1:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tommy Paul

12.03.2025 Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Tommy Paul - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Tommy Paul - Tristan Boyer 2:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul Giron M. walkover ✺

24.02.2025 Gabriel Diallo - Tommy Paul 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)	1 : 2
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J. (WO.)
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)	0 : 2
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	1 : 2
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fils A. (17)	Mensik J.	0 : 2
2	Fritz T. (3)	Berrettini M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Korda S. (24)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (23)	Dimitrov G. (14)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mensik J.	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Dimitrov G. (14)	2 : 0

Final

1

Mensik J.

Djokovic N. (4)

2 : 0