Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
6	10
Double Faults
0	2
1st serve percentage
64%	70%
1st serve points won
83% (58/70)	78% (65/83)
2nd serve points won
70% (28/40)	69% (25/36)
Break Points Saved
1/1	6/6
1st return points won
22% (18/83)	17% (12/70)
2nd return points won
31% (11/36)	30% (12/40)
Break Points Converted
0/6	0/1
Service Points Won
78% (86/110)	76% (90/119)
Return Points Won
24% (29/119)	22% (24/110)
Total Points Won
50% (115/229)	50% (114/229)
Last 10 balls
4	6
Match points saved
2	4
Service games won
100% (18/18)	100% (18/18)
Return games won
0% (0/18)	0% (0/18)
Total games won
50% (18/36)	50% (18/36)

Chances of winning

Tommy Paul
44.4%

Arthur Fils
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)		1.72 ↓ (1.74)	4.2% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Fils will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 56% – 91.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arthur Fils will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Paul is ranked ATP: 23. Fils is ranked ATP: 31.
Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Arthur Fils?

Tommy Paul has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Fils won against Tommy Paul?

Arthur Fils has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils were as follows:

09.10.2023 Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils 2:1

Latest results of Tommy Paul

24.03.2026 Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon 2:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Tommy Paul - Adrian Mannarino 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul 2:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Zizou Bergs - Tommy Paul 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Arthur Fils

24.03.2026 Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils 1:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Arthur Fils - Darwin Blanch 2:0 ✺

12.03.2026 Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev 0:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
3	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Korda S. (32)
5	Darderi L. (17)	Bye
6	Giron M.	Landaluce M. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Duckworth J.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (14)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Quinn E.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 0
11	Kouame M. (WC)	Svajda Z. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Lehecka J. (21)
13	Draper J. (25)	Bye
14	Opelka R.	Borges N.	2 : 1
15	Shapovalov D.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (6)
17	Vukic A. (LL)	Bye
18	Jodar R. (Q)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Bergs Z.	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
21	Paul T. (22)	Bye
22	Zhang Z. (PR)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
23	Collignon R.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (13)
25	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
27	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Navone M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vacherot V. (24)
29	Fils A. (28)	Bye
30	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
31	Tsitsipas S.	Fery A. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
33	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
35	Diallo G.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Humbert U. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (18)	Bye
38	Royer V.	Tirante T. A. (LL)	1 : 2
39	Kovacevic A.	Sakamoto R. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (9)
41	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Draxl L. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Majchrzak K.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Tien L. (20)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Cilic M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
47	Damm M. (WC)	Fearnley J. (RET.)	1 : 0
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Bye
50	O'Connell C. (Q)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
51	Atmane T.	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
53	Tiafoe F. (19)	Bye
54	Cazaux A.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Walton A. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Rublev A. (15)	Bye
58	Tabilo A.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
59	Michelsen A.	Bellucci M. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Norrie C. (23)
61	Moutet C. (30)	Bye
62	Nava E.	Machac T.	1 : 2
63	Buse I. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
2	Ugo Carabelli C.	Korda S. (32)	0 : 2
3	Darderi L. (17)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (14)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Quinn E.	0 : 2
6	Kouame M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
7	Draper J. (25)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	Fritz T. (6)	1 : 2
9	Vukic A.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (22)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
12	Collignon R.	Cobolli F. (13)	2 : 0
13	Bublik A. (10)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
14	Navone M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (28)	Blanch Dar.	2 : 0
16	Tsitsipas S.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 0
17	Shelton B. (8)	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
18	Diallo G.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (18)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
20	Sakamoto R.	Medvedev D. (9)	1 : 2
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
22	Majchrzak K.	Tien L. (20)	2 : 1
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Cilic M.	1 : 2
24	Damm M.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Fucsovics M.	2 : 0
26	Atmane T.	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 0
27	Tiafoe F. (19)	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
28	Walton A.	Mensik J. (12)	1 : 2
29	Rublev A. (15)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
30	Michelsen A.	Norrie C. (23)	2 : 1
31	Moutet C. (30)	Machac T.	2 : 1
32	Dzumhur D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Korda S. (32)	1 : 2
2	Landaluce M.	Khachanov K. (14)	2 : 0
3	Quinn E.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
4	Opelka R.	Fritz T. (6)	0 : 2
5	Jodar R.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
6	Paul T. (22)	Collignon R.	2 : 1
7	Berrettini M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
8	Fils A. (28)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
9	Shevchenko A.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
10	Cerundolo F. (18)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 1
11	Halys Q.	Majchrzak K.	2 : 0
12	Cilic M.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
14	Tiafoe F. (19)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Tabilo A.	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Moutet C. (30)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (32)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J. (21)	Fritz T. (6)	2 : 1
3	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Paul T. (22)	0 : 2
4	Vacherot V. (24)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Humbert U. (31)	Cerundolo F. (18)	0 : 2
6	Halys Q.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Atmane T.	Tiafoe F. (19)	1 : 2
8	Michelsen A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Landaluce M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
2	Paul T. (22)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (18)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (19)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Lehecka J. (21)	Fils A. (28)	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Lehecka J. (21)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2