Brandon Nakashima vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Vienna Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul
Result
2:0
23/10/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
78%55%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (34/45)70% (33/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (8/13)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
32% (15/47)29% (13/45)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)0% (0/1)
Winners
2417
Unforced Errors
2235
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)55% (11/20)
Service Points Won
73% (41/56)60% (51/85)
Return Points Won
40% (34/85)27% (15/56)
Total Points Won
53% (75/141)47% (66/141)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
31%
Tommy Paul
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.42)

    1.38
    (1.57)
    5.1%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Paul will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 38. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.
    • Nakashima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paul is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Paul is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Paul to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Tommy Paul were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima 1:2
    25.05.2023 Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima 0:2
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)2 : 0
    2Michelsen A.Giron M.0 : 2
    3Halys Q. (Q)Monfils G.0 : 2
    4Sonego L.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    5Dimitrov G. (3)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    6Machac T.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Thiem D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Nishikori K. (WC)Draper J. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (5)Norrie C.2 : 0
    10Fucsovics M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    11Khachanov K.Seyboth Wild T. (Q)2 : 0
    12Nakashima B.Paul T. (4)2 : 0
    13Popyrin A. (8)Mensik J. (Q)0 : 2
    14Kecmanovic M.Navone M.2 : 0
    15Cobolli F.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    16Struff J-L.De Minaur A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Giron M.2 : 0
    2Monfils G.Musetti L. (WO.) (6)
    3Dimitrov G. (3)Machac T.1 : 2
    4Darderi L.Draper J. (7)0 : 2
    5Tiafoe F. (5)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    6Khachanov K.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    7Mensik J.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    8Cobolli F. (RET.)De Minaur A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Musetti L. (6)1 : 2
    2Machac T.Draper J. (7)1 : 2
    3Berrettini M.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    4Mensik J.De Minaur A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (6)Draper J. (7)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K.De Minaur A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Draper J. (7)Khachanov K.2 : 0