Result
2:0
04/04/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 47% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 92% (22/24) | 61% (27/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 48% (13/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 8% (2/24) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 30% (8/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 0% (0/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (41/51) | 56% (40/71) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (31/71) | 20% (10/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (72/122) | 41% (50/122) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul
68% | Colton Smith
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tommy Paul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tommy Paul - Colton Smith Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.3) |
|
2.93 ↓
(3.42) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Colton Smith?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Smith will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 71.8% – 98.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tommy Paul will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Smith is ranked ATP: 200.
- Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Colton Smith?
Tommy Paul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colton Smith won against Tommy Paul?
Colton Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Colton Smith were as follows:
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Colton Smith
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Garin C. (WC) | Ritschard A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Quinn E. (WC) | Thompson J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. | Brooksby J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holt B. | Denolly C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Nishikori K. (8) | Krueger M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Hijikata R. | Eubanks C. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Galan D. E. | McDonald M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hanfmann Y. | Mannarino A. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Mmoh M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Garin C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Smith C. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (3) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nishikori K. (RET.) (8) | Eubanks C. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | McDonald M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Michelsen A. (5) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Walton A. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Eubanks C. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paul T. (1) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
