Result
0:2
12/03/2025 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Top event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Premier League |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 71% (22/31) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 45% (9/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 49% (18/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 72% (13/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 75% (6/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 61% (31/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 56% (31/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (44/106) | 58% (62/106) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul
47.8% | Daniil Medvedev
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Medvedev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.22) |
|
1.84 ↑
(1.67) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 14 - 34.1%). Medvedev will win (votes: 27 - 65.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 51.4% – 80.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Rain delay.
- Paul is ranked ATP: 11. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 6.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Medvedev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Daniil Medvedev?
Tommy Paul has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Tommy Paul?
Daniil Medvedev has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev were as follows:
14.05.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
16.03.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Daniil Medvedev
1:2
29.09.2023
Tommy Paul
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (26) | |
| 5 | Vacherot V. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Borges N. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ruud C. (13) | |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Kopriva V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Maestrelli F. (Q) | Hijikata R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Darderi L. (20) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Arnaldi M. | McDonald M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Korda S. | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Majchrzak K. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Moutet C. (31) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 22 | Royer V. | Bonzi B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Bautista-Agut R. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Draper J. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Jodar R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (22) | |
| 29 | Humbert U. (32) | Bye | |
| 30 | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Fearnley J. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fucsovics M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Fils A. (30) | |
| 37 | Rublev A. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bellucci M. | Diallo G. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Monfils G. (WC) | Galarneau A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Altmaier D. (RET.) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Damm M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (4) | |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Halys Q. | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tien L. (25) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Svajda Z. (WC) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Fonseca J. | Collignon R. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Bergs Z. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Paul T. (23) | |
| 61 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Tsitsipas S. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo J. M. | Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26) | |
| 3 | Vacherot V. (24) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Ruud C. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Darderi L. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Norrie C. (27) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Korda S. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Moutet C. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Baez S. | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Humbert U. (32) | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Fearnley J. | Fritz T. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (RET.) | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 1 |
| 19 | Rublev A. (17) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Monfils G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (15) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Walton A. | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (16) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bergs Z. | Paul T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Svrcina D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. (24) | Ruud C. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Hijikata R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Norrie C. (27) | De Minaur A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Draper J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fucsovics M. | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diallo G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (15) | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (28) | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Tien L. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shapovalov D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Norrie C. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Djokovic N. (3) | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fils A. (30) | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (21) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tien L. (25) | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fonseca J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Norrie C. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Draper J. (14) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fils A. (30) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tien L. (25) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (11) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
