Denis Shapovalov vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Dallas Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul
Result
2:0
08/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
64%60%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (39/50)71% (24/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (10/34)22% (11/50)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)0% (0/3)
Service Points Won
67% (52/78)63% (36/57)
Return Points Won
37% (21/57)33% (26/78)
Total Points Won
54% (73/135)46% (62/135)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
37%
Tommy Paul
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.31)

    1.51
    (1.62)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Paul will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Feyenoord is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Milan have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    3Hijikata R.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    4Nishikori K.Machac T. (6)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (3)Brooksby J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Quinn E. (Q)Svajda T. (WC)2 : 0
    7Opelka R. (WC)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    8Norrie C.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Arnaldi M. (8)Eubanks C. (Q)2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A.Holt B. (Q)2 : 0
    11Munar J.Bu Y.2 : 0
    12Vukic A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (5)Daniel T.2 : 1
    14Nishioka Y.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    15Carballes Baena R.Mmoh M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Duckworth J. (LL)Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    2Hijikata R.Machac T. (6)0 : 2
    3Paul T. (3)Quinn E.2 : 1
    4Opelka R.Norrie C.2 : 1
    5Arnaldi M. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    6Munar J.Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    7Tiafoe F. (5)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    8Mmoh M.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shapovalov D.Machac T. (6)2 : 0
    2Paul T. (3)Opelka R.2 : 0
    3Arnaldi M. (8)Munar J.1 : 2
    4Nishioka Y. (RET.)Ruud C. (2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shapovalov D.Paul T. (3)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Shapovalov D.Ruud C. (2)2 : 0