Denis Shapovalov vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
64%60%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (39/50)71% (24/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (10/34)22% (11/50)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)0% (0/3)
Service Points Won
67% (52/78)63% (36/57)
Return Points Won
37% (21/57)33% (26/78)
Total Points Won
54% (73/135)46% (62/135)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
37%
Tommy Paul
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.31)

    1.51
    (1.62)
    5.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Paul will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Feyenoord is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Feyenoord have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Milan have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2