Tommy Paul vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Canceled
04/04/2026 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
93
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
73%55%
1st serve points won
76% (31/41)71% (22/31)
2nd serve points won
60% (9/15)60% (15/25)
Break Points Saved
0/10/1
1st return points won
29% (9/31)27% (11/41)
2nd return points won
40% (10/25)40% (6/15)
Break Points Converted
1/11/1
Winners
2410
Unforced errors
2116
Net points won
70% (7/10)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
70% (39/56)66% (37/56)
Return Points Won
34% (19/56)30% (17/56)
Total Points Won
52% (58/112)48% (54/112)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
90% (9/10)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)10% (1/10)
Total games won
53% (10/19)47% (9/19)

Chances of winning


Tommy Paul
66.1%
Francis Tiafoe
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.
  • Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.56)

    2.82
    (2.37)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paul Tommy, Tiafoe Frances - withdrawn.
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 21. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 18.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Paul could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe 2:0
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)