Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	0
Double Faults
1	1
1st Serve Percentage
51%	63%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (18/21)	53% (18/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (14/20)	40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)	33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
47% (16/34)	19% (4/21)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)	30% (6/20)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)	0% (0/0)
Winners
19	7
Unforced Errors
11	31
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)	67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
78% (32/41)	48% (26/54)
Return Points Won
52% (28/54)	22% (9/41)
Total Points Won
63% (60/95)	37% (35/95)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)	50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)	0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)	25% (4/16)

Chances of winning

Jack Draper
61.1%

Tommy Paul
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Jack Draper - Tommy Paul Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)		2.44 ↑ (2.29)	5% (7.2%)

What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Tommy Paul?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Paul will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 40.8% – 79.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Paul is ranked ATP: 12.
Recent matches Draper is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
Paul is in first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
Draper will have a small advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Draper won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Jack Draper won against Tommy Paul?

Jack Draper has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Jack Draper?

Tommy Paul has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Tommy Paul were as follows:

21.06.2024 Jack Draper - Tommy Paul 1:2

26.02.2024 Jack Draper - Tommy Paul 2:0

17.01.2024 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 3:1

11.01.2024 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 0:2

10.01.2023 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 0:2

Latest results of Jack Draper

29.04.2025 Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini Berrettini M. retired ✺

26.04.2025 Jack Draper - Tallon Griekspoor 2:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Jack Draper - Marcos Giron 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Tommy Paul

29.04.2025 Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Tommy Paul - Colton Smith 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Tommy Paul - Christian Garin 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bautista-Agut R.	Munar J.	2 : 1
3	Borges N.	Carreno-Busta P. (WC)	2 : 1
4	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)
5	Cerundolo F. (20)	Bye
6	Moutet C. (RET.)	Mayot H. (Q)	0 : 1
7	Comesana F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Fils A. (13)
9	Shelton B. (12)	Bye
10	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Navone M.	0 : 2
11	Lajovic D. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Mensik J. (22)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Michelsen A.	Bublik A.	0 : 2
15	Monfils G.	Gojo B. (Q)	2 : 1
16	Bye	Rublev A. (7)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	O'Connell C.	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
19	Bonzi B.	Cilic M. (WC)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Hurkacz H. (27)
21	Korda S. (23)	Bye
22	Cina F. (WC)	Wong C. (WC)	2 : 0
23	Safiullin R.	Rinderknech A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Ruud C. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (9)	Bye
26	Fognini F. (Q)	Djere L.	0 : 2
27	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
29	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
30	Ofner S. (PR)	Gaston H. (Q)	2 : 0
31	Marozsan F.	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Rune H. (8)
33	Draper J. (5)	Bye
34	Griekspoor T.	Kopriva V. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Tien L.	Giron M.	1 : 2
36	Bye	Berrettini M. (30)
37	Khachanov K. (24)	Bye
38	Opelka R. (PR)	Hijikata R. (LL)	2 : 0
39	Fonseca J.	Moller E. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Paul T. (11)
41	Tiafoe F. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
43	Goffin D. (RET.)	Muller A.	1 : 1
44	Bye	Humbert U. (21)
45	Baez S. (32)	Bye
46	Dzumhur D.	Bellucci M.	2 : 1
47	Arnaldi M.	Coric B. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	De Minaur A. (6)	Bye
50	Sonego L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
51	Vukic A.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Shapovalov D. (29)
53	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Bye
54	Van De Zandschulp B. (RET.) (LL)	Struff J-L.	1 : 1
55	Etcheverry T. M.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Musetti L. (10)
57	Dimitrov G. (15)	Bye
58	Altmaier D. (Q)	Jarry N.	0 : 2
59	Bu Y.	Fearnley J. (Q)	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (19)
61	Lehecka J. (26)	Bye
62	Landaluce M. (WC)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
63	Bergs Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Majchrzak K. (LL)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 0
2	Borges N.	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	0 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mayot H.	2 : 0
4	Comesana F.	Fils A. (13)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (12)	Navone M.	2 : 1
6	Quinn E.	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Bublik A.	0 : 2
8	Monfils G.	Rublev A. (WO.) (7)
9	Fritz T. (3)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
10	Bonzi B.	Hurkacz H. (27)	2 : 0
11	Korda S. (23)	Cina F.	2 : 1
12	Rinderknech A.	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (WO.) (9)	Djere L.
14	Cerundolo J. M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 0
15	Nakashima B. (31)	Ofner S.	2 : 0
16	Cobolli F.	Rune H. (RET.) (8)	1 : 0
17	Draper J. (5)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
18	Giron M.	Berrettini M. (30)	1 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (24)	Opelka R.	2 : 0
20	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (11)	0 : 2
21	Tiafoe F. (16)	Darderi L. (RET.)	1 : 0
22	Muller A.	Humbert U. (21)	2 : 1
23	Baez S. (32)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
24	Arnaldi M.	Djokovic N. (4)	2 : 0
25	De Minaur A. (6)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
26	Nishikori K.	Shapovalov D. (29)	0 : 2
27	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
28	Etcheverry T. M.	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (15)	Jarry N.	2 : 0
30	Fearnley J.	Machac T. (19)	2 : 1
31	Lehecka J. (26)	Norrie C.	1 : 2
32	Diallo G. (LL)	Majchrzak K. (LL)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (28)	2 : 1
2	Cerundolo F. (20)	Comesana F.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (12)	Mensik J. (22)	0 : 2
4	Bublik A.	Rublev A. (7)	2 : 1
5	Fritz T. (3)	Bonzi B. (RET.)	1 : 1
6	Korda S. (23)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
8	Nakashima B. (31)	Cobolli F.	2 : 0
9	Draper J. (5)	Berrettini M. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
10	Khachanov K. (24)	Paul T. (11)	1 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (16)	Muller A.	2 : 0
12	Dzumhur D.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (6)	Shapovalov D. (29)	2 : 0
14	Tsitsipas S. (17)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (15)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Diallo G.	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Cerundolo F. (20)	0 : 2
2	Mensik J. (22)	Bublik A.	2 : 0
3	Fritz T. (3)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 1
5	Draper J. (5)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (16)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (6)	Musetti L. (10)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (15)	Diallo G.	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Mensik J. (22)	2 : 1
2	Ruud C. (14)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 0
3	Draper J. (5)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Musetti L. (10)	Diallo G.	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Cerundolo F. (20)	Ruud C. (14)	0 : 2
2	Draper J. (5)	Musetti L. (10)	2 : 0

Final

1

Ruud C. (14)

Draper J. (5)

2 : 1