Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
51%63%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (18/21)53% (18/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (14/20)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
47% (16/34)19% (4/21)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)30% (6/20)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)0% (0/0)
Winners
197
Unforced Errors
1131
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
78% (32/41)48% (26/54)
Return Points Won
52% (28/54)22% (9/41)
Total Points Won
63% (60/95)37% (35/95)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Jack Draper
61.1%
Tommy Paul
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Jack Draper - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.58)

    2.44
    (2.29)
    5%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Jack Draper - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Paul will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 40.8%79.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Paul is ranked ATP: 12.
    • Recent matches Draper is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • Paul is in first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • Draper will have a small advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Draper won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jack Draper - Tommy Paul were as follows:
    21.06.2024 Jack Draper - Tommy Paul 1:2
    26.02.2024 Jack Draper - Tommy Paul 2:0
    17.01.2024 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 3:1
    11.01.2024 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 0:2
    10.01.2023 Tommy Paul - Jack Draper 0:2
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2