Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Houston Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 14:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
56%68%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (42/62)62% (46/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (27/49)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
38% (28/74)32% (20/62)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (17/35)45% (22/49)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)44% (4/9)
Winners
3620
Unforced Errors
5432
Net Points Won
68% (15/22)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
62% (69/111)59% (64/109)
Return Points Won
41% (45/109)38% (42/111)
Total Points Won
52% (114/220)48% (106/220)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Tommy Paul
74.1%
Jenson Brooksby
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.
  • Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenson Brooksby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.4)

    3.62
    (2.63)
    5.5%
    (9.5%)
    What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Brooksby will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Brooksby is ranked ATP: 507.
    • Recent matches Paul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Brooksby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Paul is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Paul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby 2:1
    20.01.2023 Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby 3:0
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Latest results of Jenson Brooksby
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0