Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 14:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
Match Stats
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Aces |
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6 | 0 |
Double Faults |
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5 | 2 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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56% | 68% |
1st Serve Points Won |
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68% (42/62) | 62% (46/74) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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55% (27/49) | 51% (18/35) |
Break Points Saved |
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56% (5/9) | 55% (6/11) |
1st Return Points Won |
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38% (28/74) | 32% (20/62) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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49% (17/35) | 45% (22/49) |
Break Points Converted |
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45% (5/11) | 44% (4/9) |
Winners |
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36 | 20 |
Unforced Errors |
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54 | 32 |
Net Points Won |
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68% (15/22) | 75% (12/16) |
Service Points Won |
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62% (69/111) | 59% (64/109) |
Return Points Won |
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41% (45/109) | 38% (42/111) |
Total Points Won |
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52% (114/220) | 48% (106/220) |
Last 10 Balls |
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4 | 6 |
Match Points Saved |
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0 | 1 |
Service Games Won |
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76% (13/17) | 69% (11/16) |
Return Games Won |
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31% (5/16) | 24% (4/17) |
Total Games Won |
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55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul 74.1% | Jenson Brooksby 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenson Brooksby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.4) |
|
3.62 ↑ (2.63) |
5.5% (9.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Brooksby will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Brooksby is ranked ATP: 507.
- Recent matches Paul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Brooksby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Paul is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Paul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Jenson Brooksby?
Tommy Paul has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jenson Brooksby won against Tommy Paul?
Jenson Brooksby has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby were as follows:
04.02.2025
Tommy Paul
-
Jenson Brooksby
2:1
20.01.2023
Tommy Paul
-
Jenson Brooksby
3:0
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Jenson Brooksby
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals1 | Paul T. (1) | Bye | |
2 | Garin C. (WC) | Ritschard A. | 2 : 0 |
3 | Smith C. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Quinn E. (WC) | Thompson J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
5 | Tabilo A. (3) | Bye | |
6 | Daniel T. | Brooksby J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
7 | Holt B. | Denolly C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
8 | Kovacevic A. | Etcheverry T. M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
9 | Nishikori K. (8) | Krueger M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
10 | Hijikata R. | Eubanks C. | 1 : 2 |
11 | Galan D. E. | McDonald M. | 1 : 2 |
12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
13 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
14 | Hanfmann Y. | Mannarino A. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
15 | Mmoh M. (WC) | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (2) | |
1/8-finals1 | Paul T. (1) | Garin C. | 2 : 1 |
2 | Smith C. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
3 | Tabilo A. (3) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
4 | Denolly C. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
5 | Nishikori K. (RET.) (8) | Eubanks C. | 0 : 1 |
6 | McDonald M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
7 | Michelsen A. (5) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
8 | Walton A. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Paul T. (1) | Smith C. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Brooksby J. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
3 | Eubanks C. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
4 | Michelsen A. (5) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Paul T. (1) | Brooksby J. | 1 : 2 |
2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final1 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (2) | 2 : 0 |