Tommy Paul vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
155
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
62%54%
1st serve points won
72% (52/72)79% (41/52)
2nd serve points won
52% (23/44)44% (20/45)
Break Points Saved
88% (7/8)60% (3/5)
1st return points won
23% (12/52)28% (20/72)
2nd return points won
56% (25/45)48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)13% (1/8)
Winners
4328
Unforced errors
3336
Net points won
61% (17/28)63% (10/16)
Service Points Won
64% (73/114)63% (60/96)
Return Points Won
38% (36/96)36% (41/114)
Total Points Won
52% (109/210)48% (101/210)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
93% (14/15)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Total games won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Tommy Paul
61.7%
Learner Tien
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.
  • Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tommy Paul - Learner Tien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.76)

    2.5
    (2.05)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Learner Tien?
  • Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tommy Paul will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 24. Tien is ranked ATP: 23.
    • Paul is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tien's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Quinn E.Jodar R. (NG)0 : 2
    3Walton A. (LL)Diallo G.2 : 0
    4Moutet C.Paul T. (5)1 : 2
    5Tien L. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    7Kovacevic A.Svajda Z. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)0 : 2
    9Nakashima B. (7)Cilic M.2 : 0
    10Borges N.Wong C. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kypson P. (WC)Atmane T.1 : 2
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Vacherot V. (6)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    14Korda S.McDonald M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Shimabukuro S. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Jodar R.2 : 0
    2Walton A.Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    3Tien L. (4)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Svajda Z.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Nakashima B. (7)Wong C.0 : 2
    6Atmane T.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Giron M.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    2Tien L. (4)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    3Wong C.Cobolli F. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (5)Tien L. (4)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (3)Korda S.0 : 2

    Final
    1Paul T. (5)Korda S.0 : 2