Result
2:0
25/09/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 48% (16/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 52% (11/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 30% (8/27) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 12% (2/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 200% (8/4) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (32/41) | 50% (27/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 22% (9/41) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (59/95) | 38% (36/95) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 0% (0/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul
72.2% | Matteo Arnaldi
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.45) |
|
3.42 ↑
(2.75) |
5%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 13. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 33.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Paul is a favorite.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Tommy Paul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Tommy Paul?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Fils A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Navone M. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. (PR) | Shelton B. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Thompson J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cilic M. (PR) | Nishikori K. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. | Nishioka Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Rune H. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Paul T. (5) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Popyrin A. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Michelsen A. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Nakashima B. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mochizuki S. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Draper J. | Bellucci M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Giron M. | Hurkacz H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Berrettini M. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Navone M. | Shelton B. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nishikori K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Nishioka Y. | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paul T. (5) | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | O'Connell C. | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Draper J. | Hurkacz H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Shelton B. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nishikori K. | Rune H. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Machac T. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Humbert U. | Draper J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fils A. | Rune H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
Final
