Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
59
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
67%67%
1st serve points won
67% (26/39)83% (33/40)
2nd serve points won
37% (7/19)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
25% (10/40)33% (13/39)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)63% (12/19)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)50% (3/6)
Winners
1419
Unforced errors
2722
Net points won
100% (6/6)88% (7/8)
Service Points Won
57% (33/58)70% (42/60)
Return Points Won
30% (18/60)43% (25/58)
Total Points Won
43% (51/118)57% (67/118)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Tommy Paul
52.8%
Sebastian Korda
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.73)

    2
    (2.1)
    5.9%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Korda will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 26.9%73.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Set - Korda (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Korda (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tommy Paul will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Paul (votes: 3 - 50%). Korda (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paul is ranked ATP: 24. Korda is ranked ATP: 50.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paul won 2.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda 2:0
    14.06.2024 Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul 2:0
    31.08.2022 Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda 3:2
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Quinn E.Jodar R. (NG)0 : 2
    3Walton A. (LL)Diallo G.2 : 0
    4Moutet C.Paul T. (5)1 : 2
    5Tien L. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    7Kovacevic A.Svajda Z. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)0 : 2
    9Nakashima B. (7)Cilic M.2 : 0
    10Borges N.Wong C. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kypson P. (WC)Atmane T.1 : 2
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Vacherot V. (6)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    14Korda S.McDonald M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Shimabukuro S. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Jodar R.2 : 0
    2Walton A.Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    3Tien L. (4)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Svajda Z.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Nakashima B. (7)Wong C.0 : 2
    6Atmane T.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Giron M.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Paul T. (5)0 : 2
    2Tien L. (4)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    3Wong C.Cobolli F. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (5)Tien L. (4)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (3)Korda S.0 : 2

    Final
    1Paul T. (5)Korda S.0 : 2