Result
2:1
12/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (44/57) | 68% (34/50) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 58% (21/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 23% (13/57) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 48% (20/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 64% (55/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (31/86) | 33% (33/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (97/185) | 48% (88/185) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 42% (13/31) |
Chances of winning
Tommy Paul
56.6% | Tomas Machac
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.74) |
|
2.2 ↑
(2.11) |
5.5%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Machac will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tommy Paul will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paul is ranked ATP: 12. Machac is ranked ATP: 20.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Machac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paul could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Tomas Machac?
Tommy Paul has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Tommy Paul?
Tomas Machac has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac were as follows:
09.10.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Tomas Machac
1:2
27.09.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Tomas Machac
1:2
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (LL) | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Gaston H. | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) | Ofner S. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (15) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Korda S. (22) | |
| 13 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Fearnley J. | Fognini F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Bublik A. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Diallo G. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Bellucci M. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (30) | |
| 21 | Mensik J. (20) | Bye | |
| 22 | Rinderknech A. | Gigante M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Rublev A. (16) | |
| 25 | Paul T. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Arnaldi M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tien L. | Opelka R. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 29 | Dellien H. (LL) | Bye | |
| 30 | Borges N. | Seyboth Wild T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Nardi L. (WC) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Bu Y. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Kopriva V. (Q) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Baez S. (32) | |
| 37 | Humbert U. (21) | Bye | |
| 38 | Hijikata R. | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Altmaier D. | Comesana F. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Rune H. (9) | |
| 41 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Passaro F. (WC) | Tseng C. H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Sonego L. | Burruchaga R. A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Khachanov K. (23) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Djere L. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Nishioka Y. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (3) | |
| 49 | Musetti L. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Medjedovic H. | Virtanen O. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Nakashima B. (28) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (24) | Bye | |
| 54 | Taberner C. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Medvedev D. (10) | |
| 57 | Fils A. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Griekspoor T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Lehecka J. | Muller A. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (18) | |
| 61 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Carreno-Busta P. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Tiafoe F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Korda S. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Berrettini M. (29) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Ruud C. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (20) | Gigante M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Marozsan F. | Rublev A. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Paul T. (11) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tien L. | Machac T. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellien H. | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nardi L. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kopriva V. | Baez S. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Humbert U. (RET.) (21) | Moutet C. | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Comesana F. | Rune H. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (31) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Lajovic D. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Musetti L. (8) | Virtanen O. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. (WO.) (28) | |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (24) | Taberner C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Fils A. (13) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Muller A. | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Korda S. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. (RET.) (29) | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Giron M. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (20) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Paul T. (11) | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Dellien H. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Moutet C. | Rune H. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Passaro F. | Khachanov K. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Djere L. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Musetti L. (8) | Nakashima B. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (24) | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fils A. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cerundolo F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Mensik J. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Paul T. (11) | De Minaur A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (23) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Musetti L. (8) | Medvedev D. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fils A. (13) | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Alcaraz C. (3) | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
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