Result
2:1
15/01/2026 at 21:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (40/51) | 63% (31/49) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (14/33) | 55% (18/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 22% (11/51) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 58% (19/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (54/84) | 60% (49/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (33/82) | 36% (30/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (87/166) | 48% (79/166) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 46% (12/26) |
Chances of winning
Tomas Machac
41.1% | Tommy Paul
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.25) |
|
1.62 ↓
(1.63) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Paul will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Machac (votes: 4 - 40%). Paul (votes: 6 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Machac is ranked ATP: 35. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.
- Machac has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Machac won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Tommy Paul?
Tomas Machac has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tommy Paul won against Tomas Machac?
Tommy Paul has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul were as follows:
12.05.2025
Tommy Paul
-
Tomas Machac
2:1
09.10.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Tomas Machac
1:2
27.09.2024
Tommy Paul
-
Tomas Machac
1:2
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Tommy Paul
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. (WC) | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kokkinakis T. | Korda S. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kecmanovic M. | Vacherot V. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Humbert U. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Quinn E. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dzumhur D. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Machac T. (8) | Duckworth J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Fearnley J. (LL) | Halys Q. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Altmaier D. | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (3) | |
| 13 | Tsitsipas S. (7) | Vukic A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Vavassori A. (Q) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Opelka R. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Paul T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (1) | Hijikata R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kokkinakis T. | Vacherot V. (WO.) (5) | |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. | Shevchenko A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Machac T. (8) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Cerundolo F. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Vukic A. | Vavassori A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Opelka R. | Paul T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (1) | Vacherot V. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Humbert U. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Machac T. (8) | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Paul T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (1) | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machac T. (8) | Paul T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Humbert U. | Machac T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
