Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels
Result
4:1
25/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rutherford A. ,
  • 10', 2 - 0, Carter C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 3 - 0, Rutherford A. ,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Unwin B. ,
  • 75', 4 - 1, Camp B. ,

Chances of winning


Dorking Wanderers
73.7%
Draw
16%
Tonbridge Angels
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 20.4% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 18.4% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorking Wanderers's performance.
  • Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorking Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.36)
    6.11
    (4.5)
    9.57
    (7.5)
    2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
    • Dorking has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tonbridge has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Dorking is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels 1:0
    22.10.2024 Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers 1:0
    Latest results of Tonbridge Angels
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch1073022:101224
    2Weston-super-Mare971116:51122
    3Torquay952219:13617
    4Maidenhead952214:8617
    5Hampton & Richmond944116:12416
    6AFC Totton951314:10416
    7Hemel Hempstead944110:6416
    8Dover1043317:15215
    9Dorking942312:11114
    10Chelmsford94239:10-114
    11Worthing933315:12312
    12Ebbsfleet93338:8012
    13Horsham FC932412:11111
    14Chesham92438:9-110
    15Tonbridge924311:15-410
    16Maidstone92438:12-410
    17Enfield Town92345:8-39
    18Bath92347:11-49
    19Slough923411:16-59
    20Farnborough922515:18-38
    21Dag & Red91449:17-87
    22Chippenham91268:15-75
    23Salisbury90545:12-75
    24Eastbourne Boro90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation