Result
2:2
02/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (292/382) | 78% (244/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (292/382) | 78% (244/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (75/123) | 69% (61/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Rony Lopes ⚽,
- 38', Medina B. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Bane S. ⚽, Barbosa R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yarlen ↓, Cavaleiro I. ↑,
- 46', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 57', Tavares H. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Perea O. ⚽, Spencer D. (A),
- 64', Manso T. ↓, Bebeto ↑,
- 64', Rony Lopes ↓, Felix H. ↑,
- 66', Barbosa R. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 66', Grau J. ↓, Lourenco B. ↑,
- 70', Tavares H. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Pedro Maranhao (Pen),
- 72', Spencer D. 🟨,
- 74', Perea O. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
- 74', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
- 85', Kiki ↓, Rivas D. ↑,
- 85', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 87', Nene 🟨,
- 88', Sithole S. 🟨,
- 89', Rivas D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
30.4% | Draw
30% | Tondela
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AVS - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.14) |
3.16 ↓
(3.21) |
2.39 ↑
(2.33) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Tondela?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tondela will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - AVS (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AVS (votes: 1 - 50%). Tondela (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- AVS is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tondela has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tondela has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Sithole S.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Tondela?
AVS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against AVS?
Tondela has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Tondela were as follows:
19.05.2024
AVS
-
Tondela
0:1
14.01.2024
Tondela
-
AVS
3:2
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
