Result
0:0
21/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (361/432) | 74% (219/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (361/432) | 74% (219/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (89/135) | 55% (44/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Ponck 🟨,
- 29', Roni ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 31', Galletto T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Perea O. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
- 65', Green A. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 68', Silva J. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
- 73', Tavares H. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 84', Rivas D. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 85', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 87', Conceicao R. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
- 88', Bebeto ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 89', Aiko M. ↓, Ouattara M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tondela
50.7% | Draw
28.3% | AVS
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Tondela - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.9) |
3.34 ↓
(3.62) |
4.5 ↑
(4.4) |
5.6%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tondela - AVS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tondela is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against AVS?
Tondela has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Tondela?
AVS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - AVS were as follows:
02.11.2025
AVS
-
Tondela
2:2
19.05.2024
AVS
-
Tondela
0:1
14.01.2024
Tondela
-
AVS
3:2
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 3 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
