Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
26/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 9
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.17
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
929
Shots on target
215
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
77% (214/279)88% (486/553)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.363.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.115.06
Total shots
929
Shots on target
215
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
320
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
950
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
77% (214/279)88% (486/553)
Long passes
39% (16/41)54% (15/28)
Passes in final third
67% (60/89)77% (128/167)
Crosses
5% (1/19)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.652.10
Throw-ins
1425
Fouls
1212
Tackles
74% (17/23)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3962
Clearances
3527
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
122
xGOT faced
5.060.11
Goals prevented
2.060.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Suarez L. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 20', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
  • 31', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rony Lopes , Rodriguez Y. ,
  • 46', Cavaleiro I. , Manso T. ,
  • 55', Cicero 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Goncalves P. , Trincao (A),
  • 71', Siebatcheu J. , Yarlen ,
  • 71', Cicero , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 72', Fresneda I. 🟨,
  • 73', Catamo G. , Quenda G. ,
  • 74', Suarez L. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 84', Sithole S. , Felix H. ,
  • 84', Goncalves P. , Alisson Santos ,
  • 85', Araujo M. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 90', Simoes J. , Kochorashvili G. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 3, Quenda G. , Matheus Reis (A),

Chances of winning


Tondela
5.9%
Draw
14.2%
Sporting Lisbon
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10% 15.5% 74.5%

Tondela - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
17.97
(9.29)
6.9
(6)
1.2
(1.25)
3.6%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tondela - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0.
    • Recent performances by Tondela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sporting is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tondela has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Tondela: Medina B. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Debast Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    09.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Tondela 4:0
    23.12.2023 Tondela - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    Latest results of Tondela
    19.10.2025 Vila Real - Tondela 1:5
    08.10.2025 Ferrol - Tondela 2:2
    05.10.2025 Rio Ave - Tondela 3:0
    27.09.2025 Santa Clara - Tondela 1:2
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2