Result
0:3
26/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 3.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (214/279) | 88% (486/553) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 3.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 5.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (214/279) | 88% (486/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 54% (15/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/89) | 77% (128/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 5.06 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Goncalves P. (A),
- 20', Cavaleiro I. 🟨,
- 31', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rony Lopes ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 46', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Manso T. ↑,
- 55', Cicero 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Goncalves P. ⚽, Trincao (A),
- 71', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 71', Cicero ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 72', Fresneda I. 🟨,
- 73', Catamo G. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 74', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 84', Sithole S. ↓, Felix H. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves P. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 85', Araujo M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 90', Simoes J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Quenda G. ⚽, Matheus Reis (A),
Chances of winning
Tondela
5.9% | Draw
14.2% | Sporting Lisbon
79.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
Tondela - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
17.97 ↑
(9.29) |
6.9 ↑
(6) |
1.2 ↓
(1.25) |
3.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tondela - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0.
- Recent performances by Tondela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tondela has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Tondela: Medina B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Sporting Lisbon?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Tondela?
Sporting Lisbon has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
09.01.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Tondela
4:0
23.12.2023
Tondela
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:2
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
