Trofense vs Tondela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Trofense - Tondela
Result
1:2
15/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Trofense
35%
Draw
29.4%
Tondela
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29.1% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 28.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Trofense - Tondela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.87)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    2.58
    (2.42)
    8.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Trofense - Tondela?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
    • Trofense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tondela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Tondela were as follows:
    30.10.2022 Tondela - Trofense 0:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    08.04.2023 Porto B - Trofense 4:2
    01.04.2023 Trofense - Farense 2:1
    18.03.2023 Feirense - Trofense 1:0
    11.03.2023 Trofense - Nacional 2:2
    04.03.2023 Moreirense - Trofense 1:0
    Latest results of Tondela
    08.04.2023 Tondela - Leixões 2:3
    01.04.2023 Oliveirense - Tondela 0:0
    19.03.2023 Tondela - Mafra 1:2
    12.03.2023 BSAD - Tondela 0:2
    04.03.2023 Tondela - Torreense 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

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