Tonga vs Canada, Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union Tonga - Canada
20/09/2025 at 18:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pacific Nations Cup - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
portugalPortugalSport TV2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby

Chances of winning


Tonga
81.3%
Draw
3%
Canada
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.3% 2.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Tonga - Canada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.12
    (1.19)
    30
    (35)
    5.8
    (4.9)
    10.3%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Tonga is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 154:106. (average 30.8:21.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tonga - Canada were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Tonga - Canada 30:17
    14.08.2023 Tonga - Canada 36:12
    Latest results of Tonga
    14.09.2025 Tonga - Japan 24:62
    29.08.2025 Fiji - Tonga 32:10
    22.08.2025 Tonga - Samoa 30:16
    24.11.2024 Georgia - Tonga 22:7
    16.11.2024 USA - Tonga 36:17
    Latest results of Canada
    14.09.2025 Fiji - Canada 63:10
    30.08.2025 Japan - Canada 57:15
    22.08.2025 Canada - USA 34:20
    18.07.2025 Canada - Spain 23:24
    12.07.2025 Canada - Belgium 18:25
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1TongaJapan24 : 62
    2FijiCanada63 : 10

    Final
    1JapanFiji

    3rd place
    2TongaCanada