Samoa vs Tonga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
34:6
26/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pacific Championships - League A
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaNRL

Match Stats

Tries
61
Conversion Goals
41
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 0)
  • 9', Tago I. (Try),
  • 19', Talagi B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 30', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (22 - 6)
  • 47', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 62', Taulagi M. (Try),
  • 63', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Haas P. (Try),
  • 67', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 77', Talagi B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Koula T. (Try),
  • 78', Katoa I. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Samoa
60.7%
Draw
5.2%
Tonga
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 4.2% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samoa's performance.
  • Tonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Samoa - Tonga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.82)
    20.49
    (22)
    3.09
    (2.05)
    -5.3%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Tonga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:88. (average 20:29.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samoa - Tonga were as follows:
    06.11.2022 Tonga - Samoa 18:20
    Latest results of Samoa
    19.10.2025 New Zealand - Samoa 24:18
    02.11.2024 England - Samoa 34:16
    27.10.2024 England - Samoa 34:18
    21.10.2023 New Zealand - Samoa 50:0
    14.10.2023 Australia - Samoa 38:12
    Latest results of Tonga
    10.11.2024 Australia - Tonga 20:14
    02.11.2024 New Zealand - Tonga 24:25
    18.10.2024 Australia - Tonga 18:0
    04.11.2023 England - Tonga 26:4
    28.10.2023 England - Tonga 14:4
    Draw
    League A - Play Offs

    Final
    1New ZealandSamoa36 : 14