Lecce vs Torino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Lecce - Torino
Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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hungaryHungaryNet4+
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japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+
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peruPeruDisney+
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14
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usaUsaParamount+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.49
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
74% (241/326)77% (353/456)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.60
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
813
Passes
74% (241/326)77% (353/456)
Long passes
38% (23/60)47% (34/73)
Passes in final third
65% (75/116)55% (64/117)
Crosses
16% (3/19)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.71
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
138
Tackles
78% (7/9)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3249
Clearances
2424
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.601.31
Goals prevented
0.600.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Lazaro V. 🟨,
  • 45', Pierret B. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ndri K. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
  • 46', Helgason T. J. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Ramadani Y. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
  • 59', Krstovic N. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
  • 59', Gineitis G. ↓, Perciun S. ↑,
  • 70', Ricci S. ↓, Ilic I. ↑,
  • 71', Vlasic N. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
  • 71', Lazaro V. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
  • 78', Tete Morente 🟨,
  • 85', Dembele A. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
  • 86', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lecce
46.1%		Draw
30.2%		Torino
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 30% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 31.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Lecce - Torino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.07 ↓
    (2.15)    		 3.18 ↓
    (3.21)    		 4.06 ↑
    (3.81)    		 4.3%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Torino?
  • Users Predictions: Lecce will win (70 of 82 users predict this - 85.37%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.72% – 93.02%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lecce will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Lecce is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Scott E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Torino: Coco S. (Hand Injury) Ilkhan E. (Knee Injury) Njie A. (Ankle Injury) Salama A. (Muscle Injury) Savva Z. (Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury) Zapata D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Burnete R. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Torino: Karamoh Y. (Hernia) Pedersen M. (Head Injury) Sosa B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Torino were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Torino - Lecce 0:0
    16.02.2024 Torino - Lecce 2:0
    28.10.2023 Lecce - Torino 0:1
    12.03.2023 Lecce - Torino 0:2
    05.09.2022 Torino - Lecce 1:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    11.05.2025 Verona - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Juventus - Lecce 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Torino
    11.05.2025 Torino - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    02.05.2025 Torino - Venezia 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Torino - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Como - Torino 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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