Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
5:1
21/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network, Victory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1222
Shots off target
813
Shooting PCT
41.67% (5/12)4.55% (1/22)
Blocked Shots
611
Goalkeeper Saves
217
Saves PCT
95.45% (21/22)63.64% (7/11)
Penalties
42
PIM
84
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (2/2)
Hits
721
Faceoffs Won
919
Faceoffs %
32.1467.86
Giveaways
618
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 16:15, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
  • 18:30, 1 - 0, Robertson J. (G), Back O. (A), Faksa R. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 01:54, Maccelli M. (2 min),
  • 03:31, Robertson J. (2 min),
  • 10:17, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 14:31, Lyubushkin I. (2 min),
  • 17:05, Harley T. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (4 - 1)
  • 05:03, 2 - 0, Steel S. (G), Lyubushkin I. (A), Rantanen M. (A2)
  • 08:39, 2 - 1, Laughton S. (G), Rielly M. (A),
  • 12:10, 3 - 1, Benn Ja. (G), Heiskanen M. (A), Lindell E. (A2)
  • 17:55, 4 - 1, Bourque M. (G), Lindell E. (A), Oettinger J. (A2)
  • 19:44, 5 - 1, Hryckowian J. (G), Harley T. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Stars
53.5%		Draw
21.4%		Toronto Maple Leafs
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 22.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 21.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dallas Stars's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.78 ↓
    (1.99)    		 4.43 ↑
    (4.16)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.17)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 48.7% – 87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dallas Stars will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 1.
    • Dallas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dallas is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 48:77. (average 2.4:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 2.3:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 1:4
    18.12.2024 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    07.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 5:4
    26.10.2023 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    06.12.2022 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:4
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    19.12.2025 Anaheim Ducks - Dallas Stars 3:8 ✺
    18.12.2025 San Jose Sharks - Dallas Stars 3:5 ✺
    15.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Los Angeles Kings 4:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Florida Panthers 0:4 ✺
    11.12.2025 Minnesota Wild - Dallas Stars 5:2 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    20.12.2025 Nashville Predators - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3 ✺
    18.12.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:0 ✺
    16.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 3:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 3:6 ✺
    11.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks 2:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 714261013266:179106
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7233101118245:19897
    3Minnesota Wild7326151220239:21094
    4Anaheim Ducks722417427243:24786
    5Edmonton Oilers73279928254:24981
    6Utah Mammoth73289630229:21080
    7Vegas Golden Knights732481526228:22979
    8Nashville Predators72259929217:23977
    9Los Angeles Kings7219101825193:21676
    10Seattle Kraken712571029204:22174
    11Winnipeg Jets722461230205:22372
    12San Jose Sharks702012731212:25171
    13St. Louis Blues712641130186:22671
    14Calgary Flames72237834182:22268
    15Chicago Blackhawks722071332188:23367
    16Vancouver Canucks71147842182:26650


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning71359621260:19994
    4Montreal Canadiens7128121021251:23190
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Pittsburgh Penguins722971620247:22888
    7Columbus Blue Jackets7227111123232:21987
    8New York Islanders732714527211:20787
    9Ottawa Senators723261024242:22086
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7122131224209:21582
    12Washington Capitals73315928227:21581
    13New Jersey Devils712512232197:21576
    14Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    15Florida Panthers71278333213:23673
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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