Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
21/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network, Victory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1222
Shots off target
813
Shooting PCT
41.67% (5/12)4.55% (1/22)
Blocked Shots
611
Goalkeeper Saves
217
Saves PCT
95.45% (21/22)63.64% (7/11)
Penalties
42
PIM
84
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (2/2)
Hits
721
Faceoffs Won
919
Faceoffs %
32.1467.86
Giveaways
618
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 16:15, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
  • 18:30, 1 - 0, Robertson J. (G), Back O. (A), Faksa R. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 01:54, Maccelli M. (2 min),
  • 03:31, Robertson J. (2 min),
  • 10:17, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 14:31, Lyubushkin I. (2 min),
  • 17:05, Harley T. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (4 - 1)
  • 05:03, 2 - 0, Steel S. (G), Lyubushkin I. (A), Rantanen M. (A2)
  • 08:39, 2 - 1, Laughton S. (G), Rielly M. (A),
  • 12:10, 3 - 1, Benn Ja. (G), Heiskanen M. (A), Lindell E. (A2)
  • 17:55, 4 - 1, Bourque M. (G), Lindell E. (A), Oettinger J. (A2)
  • 19:44, 5 - 1, Hryckowian J. (G), Harley T. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Stars
53.5%
Draw
21.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 22.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 21.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dallas Stars's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.99)
    4.43
    (4.16)
    3.77
    (3.17)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dallas Stars will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 1.
    • Dallas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dallas is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 48:77. (average 2.4:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 2.3:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 1:4
    18.12.2024 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    07.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 5:4
    26.10.2023 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    06.12.2022 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:4
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )