Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:6
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1925
Shots off target
1818
Shooting PCT
10.53% (2/19)24% (6/25)
Blocked shots
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
1917
Saves PCT
82.61% (19/23)89.47% (17/19)
Penalties
11
PIM
22
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Hits
2623
Faceoffs Won
3720
Faceoffs %
64.9135.09
Giveaways
1211
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:23, 0 - 1, Luostarinen E. (G), Samoskevich M. (A),
  • 05:32, 0 - 2, Reinhardt C. (G), Sebrango D. (A), Hinostroza V. (A2)
  • 05:32, (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:32, 0 - 3, Nosek T. (G), Alscher M. (A),
  • 10:34, Foote N. (2 min),
  • 10:55, 1 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
  • 13:16, 2 - 3, Nylander W. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 04:13, 2 - 4, Samoskevich M. (G), Greer A.J. (A), Luostarinen E. (A2)
  • 15:56, 2 - 5, Greer A.J. (G), Luostarinen E. (A), Samoskevich M. (A2)
  • 18:07, 2 - 6, Nosek T. (G), Gregor N. (A),

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
43.4%
Draw
22.3%
Florida Panthers
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 22.6% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 24.6% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Maple Leafs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florida Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.44)
    4.24
    (4.18)
    2.73
    (2.44)
    5.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Florida will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Stolarz A. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Florida: Balinskis U. (Lower-Body Injury) Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Ekblad A. (Finger Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Jones S. (Foot Injury) Kulikov D. (Finger Injury) Lundell A. (Ribs Injury) Marchand B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mikkola N. (Knee Injury) Reinhart S. (Foot Injury) Rodrigues E. (Finger Injury) Tkachuk M. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:64. (average 2.4:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 2.9:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers were as follows:
    26.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1
    06.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers 4:1
    02.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    18.05.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers 1:6
    16.05.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:2
    Latest results of Florida Panthers
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )