Result
1:3
17/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.17% (1/24) | 8.82% (3/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.18% (31/34) | 95.83% (23/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 33.33% (2/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (4/6) | 100% (4/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.53 | 51.47 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:30, Robertson N. (2 min),
- 04:15, 0 - 1, Schenn B. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
- 07:18, Pelech A. (2 min),
- 09:34, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 09:43, 0 - 2, Ritchie C. (G), Barzal M. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:47, Pelech A. (2 min),
- 02:13, Joshua D. (2 min),
- 04:40, 1 - 2, Lorentz S. (G), Groulx B. (A),
- 11:57, 1 - 3, Heineman E. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
- 14:39, Cizikas C. (2 min),
- 17:12, Rielly M. (2 min),
- 17:12, Maclean K. (5 min),
- 17:12, Rielly M. (5 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 14:57, Tavares J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
31.8% | Draw
22.9% | New York Islanders
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Islanders's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Islanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.49) |
4.1 ↓
(4.18) |
2.1 ↓
(2.39) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- NY Islanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in NY Islanders: Shabanov M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:61. (average 2.9:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.9:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against New York Islanders?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Islanders won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
New York Islanders has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders were as follows:
03.01.2026
New York Islanders
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
4:3
02.01.2025
New York Islanders
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:2
31.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
3:1
21.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
3:6
05.02.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
2:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of New York Islanders
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 66 | 39 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 249:170 | 97 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 67 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 235:184 | 94 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 69 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 230:199 | 90 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 67 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 27 | 223:233 | 77 |
| 5 | Edmonton Oilers | 69 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 243:235 | 77 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 68 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 214:191 | 76 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 68 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 220:211 | 76 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 67 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 193:205 | 71 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 67 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 180:201 | 71 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 66 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 207:234 | 70 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 67 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 199:228 | 69 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 67 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 191:206 | 67 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 67 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 177:222 | 64 |
| 14 | Chicago Blackhawks | 67 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 178:217 | 62 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 67 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 167:212 | 59 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 67 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 176:248 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 68 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 241:202 | 92 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 68 | 35 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 237:200 | 90 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 66 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 237:184 | 86 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 67 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 236:222 | 84 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 68 | 29 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 235:210 | 84 |
| 6 | New York Islanders | 68 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 24 | 200:192 | 83 |
| 7 | Detroit Red Wings | 68 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 200:203 | 82 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 68 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 224:214 | 82 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 67 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 217:209 | 81 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 66 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 225:205 | 77 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 66 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 191:205 | 74 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 68 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 212:203 | 74 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 68 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 31 | 186:207 | 72 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 69 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 216:241 | 70 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 67 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 201:225 | 69 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 68 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 193:215 | 64 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
