New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 OT
03/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2522
Shots off target
2018
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
1921
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)84% (21/25)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2119
Faceoffs Won
2630
Faceoffs %
46.4353.57
Giveaways
1719
Takeaways
62
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 07:18, Barzal M. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Pulock R. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 11:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:10, 1 - 0, Pelech A. (G), Drouin J. (A),
  • 09:30, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G),
  • 17:19, 1 - 2, Matthews A. (G), McMann B. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 11:10, 2 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), Drouin J. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
  • 12:12, 2 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 17:15, 3 - 3, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:11, 4 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Heineman E. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
38.4%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 22.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 21.9% 36.2%

New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.35)
4.14
(4.4)
2.45
(2.65)
5.2%
(3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • NY Islanders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Horvat B. (Lower-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Sorokin I. (Lower-Body Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:59. (average 2.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    02.01.2025 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    31.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:1
    21.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:6
    05.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 2:3
    11.01.2024 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
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    10San Jose Sharks541611423169:18958
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    Eastern Conference
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    2Carolina Hurricanes562510615195:16376
    3Detroit Red Wings572310618173:17172
    4Buffalo Sabres56266618193:17170
    5Montreal Canadiens562011817194:18670
    6Pittsburgh Penguins552441215187:16768
    7Boston Bruins56248420191:17768
    8New York Islanders572110521166:16167
    9Columbus Blue Jackets55199720175:17763
    10Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    11Washington Capitals58235723185:17563
    12Ottawa Senators56225722189:18361
    13Philadelphia Flyers551871020166:17860
    14Florida Panthers55235324168:18159
    15New Jersey Devils561810226145:17258
    16New York Rangers56148628151:17850

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )