New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

UBS Arena (Elmont, NY).

NHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NHL Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
25	22
Shots off target
20	18
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)	13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
11	11
Goalkeeper Saves
19	21
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)	84% (21/25)
Penalties
2	2
PIM
4	4
Power-play Goals
0	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)	0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)	100% (2/2)
Hits
21	19
Faceoffs Won
26	30
Faceoffs %
46.43	53.57
Giveaways
17	19
Takeaways
6	2
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 0)
07:18, Barzal M. (2 min),
10:50, Pulock R. (2 min),
10:50, Domi M. (2 min),
11:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:10, 1 - 0, Pelech A. (G), Drouin J. (A),
09:30, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G),
17:19, 1 - 2, Matthews A. (G), McMann B. (A), Domi M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:10, 2 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), Drouin J. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
12:12, 2 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Roy N. (A),
17:15, 3 - 3, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:11, 4 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Heineman E. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Islanders
38.4%

Draw
23.1%

Toronto Maple Leafs
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

22.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

21.9%

36.2%

New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)	4.14 ↓ (4.4)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)	5.2% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
NY Islanders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Toronto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Horvat B. (Lower-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Sorokin I. (Lower-Body Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:59. (average 2.9:3).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3.3:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Islanders won against Toronto Maple Leafs?

New York Islanders has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against New York Islanders?

Toronto Maple Leafs has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:

02.01.2025 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2

31.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:1

21.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:6

05.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 2:3

11.01.2024 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3

Latest results of New York Islanders

01.01.2026 New York Islanders - Utah Mammoth 2:7 ✺

30.12.2025 Chicago Blackhawks - New York Islanders 2:3 ✺

28.12.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - New York Islanders 4:2 ✺

27.12.2025 New York Islanders - New York Rangers 2:0 ✺

23.12.2025 New York Islanders - New Jersey Devils 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs

01.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets 6:5 ✺

30.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils 4:0 ✺

28.12.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 7:5 ✺

23.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:3 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Colorado Avalanche	43	29	3	7	4	175:99	71
2	Dallas Stars	44	22	4	8	10	153:124	60
3	Minnesota Wild	45	18	8	8	11	143:121	60
4	Vegas Golden Knights	42	14	5	12	11	133:132	50
5	Edmonton Oilers	44	17	5	6	16	149:148	50
6	Seattle Kraken	42	14	6	8	14	117:123	48
7	San Jose Sharks	43	12	10	3	18	136:151	47
8	Los Angeles Kings	42	12	6	10	14	114:117	46
9	Utah Mammoth	44	15	6	3	20	133:125	45
10	Anaheim Ducks	44	13	8	3	20	147:163	45
11	Nashville Predators	43	14	6	4	19	122:143	44
12	Chicago Blackhawks	43	14	4	7	18	125:137	43
13	St. Louis Blues	44	17	0	8	19	110:153	42
14	Calgary Flames	44	14	4	4	22	114:134	40
15	Vancouver Canucks	43	10	6	5	22	121:153	37
16	Winnipeg Jets	42	13	2	5	22	121:134	35

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Carolina Hurricanes	44	18	9	3	14	152:133	57
2	Montreal Canadiens	44	16	9	6	13	151:144	56
3	Detroit Red Wings	45	19	7	4	15	141:142	56
4	Tampa Bay Lightning	42	21	5	3	13	146:112	55
5	New York Islanders	44	16	8	5	15	130:122	53
6	Philadelphia Flyers	42	15	7	8	12	130:120	52
7	Pittsburgh Penguins	42	17	4	9	12	139:132	51
8	Buffalo Sabres	42	17	6	4	15	135:131	50
9	Washington Capitals	44	20	2	6	16	143:129	50
10	Toronto Maple Leafs	43	16	5	7	15	143:140	49
11	Boston Bruins	44	16	7	2	19	141:144	48
12	Florida Panthers	43	19	3	3	18	132:140	47
13	New Jersey Devils	44	15	7	2	20	115:137	46
14	New York Rangers	45	13	7	6	19	118:125	46
15	Ottawa Senators	43	15	5	5	18	139:145	45
16	Columbus Blue Jackets	43	11	7	7	18	132:147	43

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )