New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
52.6%
Draw
21.2%
Toronto Maple Leafs
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 21.3% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 22.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.79)
    4.53
    (4.44)
    3.66
    (3.65)
    4.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • NY Islanders is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NY Islanders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, NY Islanders is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:54. (average 3.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 3.4:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 1:3
    03.01.2026 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    02.01.2025 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    31.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:1
    21.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:6
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 774561016290:197112
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7835111220262:214104
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7830151221261:225102
    4Utah Mammoth773110630254:22388
    5Edmonton Oilers783091029270:26388
    6Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    7Anaheim Ducks772417531257:27187
    8Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    9Nashville Predators7726101031233:25682
    10San Jose Sharks762512732234:26981
    11Winnipeg Jets772771231221:23480
    12St. Louis Blues772941232206:24178
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames77257936202:24773
    15Chicago Blackhawks782171436202:25670
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 783614622281:233106
    2Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 78399624281:221102
    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7832141022273:245102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins783371622280:25096
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators783561027264:24092
    8Philadelphia Flyers7825151226233:23292
    9Columbus Blue Jackets7827121227245:24190
    10New York Islanders782814531226:22989
    11Detroit Red Wings782911929228:23889
    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
    13New Jersey Devils782812335219:23983
    14Toronto Maple Leafs772391431242:27578
    15Florida Panthers78298437233:26678
    16New York Rangers78249936229:23875

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