Iowa Wild vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
4:5
17/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2222
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)22.73% (5/22)
Goalkeeper Saves
1718
Saves PCT
77.27% (17/22)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
64
PIM
128
Power-play Goals
03
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)50% (3/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (3/6)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 02:13, 0 - 1, Valis B. (G), Nylander A. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
  • 04:38, 1 - 1, Lambos C. (G), Bankier C. (A),
  • 06:46, 2 - 1, Bankier C. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)
  • 08:54, 3 - 1, Mayhew G. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Olausson O. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 4)
  • 02:59, 3 - 2, Valis B. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
  • 10:53, 3 - 3, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
  • 16:25, 3 - 4, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
  • 19:59, 3 - 5, Haymes L. (G), Nylander A. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:24, 4 - 5, Olausson O. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)

Chances of winning


Iowa Wild
26.4%		Draw
21.8%		Toronto Marlies
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 23.5% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.47 ↑
    (3.04)    		 4.17 ↑
    (3.83)    		 1.78 ↓
    (1.91)    		 9%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 0.
    • Recent form of Iowa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.
    • Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 1.9:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 2.3:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3
    23.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild 2:1
    22.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild 7:2
    Latest results of Iowa Wild
    16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3
    10.01.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild 5:4 ✺
    09.01.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild 1:1 ✺
    07.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 4:3
    04.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3
    10.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 6:3
    09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1 ✺
    07.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters 4:5 ✺
    04.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:6
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 643712114217:14499
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 65309521214:17583
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves632281419195:20174
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs64188533178:21257
    7Iowa Wild62166931152:19553


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda63299421218:19180
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds632512521214:19079
    5Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls642361223194:20070
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans62217925191:19565
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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