Iowa Wild vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
17/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2222
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)22.73% (5/22)
Goalkeeper Saves
1718
Saves PCT
77.27% (17/22)81.82% (18/22)
Penalties
64
PIM
128
Power-play Goals
03
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)50% (3/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (3/6)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 02:13, 0 - 1, Valis B. (G), Nylander A. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
  • 04:38, 1 - 1, Lambos C. (G), Bankier C. (A),
  • 06:46, 2 - 1, Bankier C. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)
  • 08:54, 3 - 1, Mayhew G. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Olausson O. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 4)
  • 02:59, 3 - 2, Valis B. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
  • 10:53, 3 - 3, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
  • 16:25, 3 - 4, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Thrun H. (A2)
  • 19:59, 3 - 5, Haymes L. (G), Nylander A. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:24, 4 - 5, Olausson O. (G), Foudy J. (A), Desnoyers E. (A2)

Chances of winning


Iowa Wild
26.4%
Draw
21.8%
Toronto Marlies
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 23.5% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (3.04)
    4.17
    (3.83)
    1.78
    (1.91)
    9%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 0.
    • Recent form of Iowa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.
    • Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 1.9:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 2.3:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3
    23.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild 2:1
    22.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Iowa Wild 7:2
    Latest results of Iowa Wild
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )