Toros Neftekamsk vs Norilsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:59, 1 - 0, Agafonov M. (G), Galiyev E. (A),
  • 17:10, 2 - 0, Volokitin P. (G),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:04, 2 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G),
  • 11:06, 2 - 2, Makeyev N. (G),
  • 19:26, 3 - 2, Shcherbakov N. (G), Nabiev A. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 06:32, 4 - 2, Nabiev A. (G),
  • 16:31, 5 - 2, Khvorov N. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Budnitsky V. (A2)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toros Neftekamsk
41.8%
Draw
25.9%
Norilsk
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 21.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 22.2% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
  • Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norilsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.63)
    3.56
    (4.17)
    2.84
    (4.08)
    8.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    What is the prediction for Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toros Neftekamsk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.
    • Toros could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk were as follows:
    27.10.2025 Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk 1:2
    18.01.2025 Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk 3:2
    02.02.2024 Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk 3:4
    20.09.2023 Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk 4:3
    Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
    Latest results of Norilsk
    22.01.2026 Izhstal - Norilsk 1:6
    18.01.2026 Norilsk - Kristall Saratov 2:3
    16.01.2026 Norilsk - Dizel Penza 0:3
    14.01.2026 Norilsk - Ryazan 3:4
    12.01.2026 Norilsk - AKM 6:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)3 : 3
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)TBD #2
    2Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)
    3HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)
    4Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)