Result
5:2
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:59, 1 - 0, Agafonov M. (G), Galiyev E. (A),
- 17:10, 2 - 0, Volokitin P. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:04, 2 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G),
- 11:06, 2 - 2, Makeyev N. (G),
- 19:26, 3 - 2, Shcherbakov N. (G), Nabiev A. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:32, 4 - 2, Nabiev A. (G),
- 16:31, 5 - 2, Khvorov N. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Budnitsky V. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toros Neftekamsk 41.8% | Draw 25.9% | Norilsk 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norilsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (1.63) |
3.56 ↓ (4.17) |
2.84 ↓ (4.08) |
8.6% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toros Neftekamsk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.
- Toros could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Norilsk?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Norilsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk were as follows:
27.10.2025
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
1:2
18.01.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
0:2
03.11.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:2
02.02.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:4
20.09.2023
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
4:3
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
Latest results of Norilsk
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 4 : 2 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 3 : 3 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 4 : 2 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Khimik (4) | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | |
| 3 | HC Yugra (2) | Omskie Krylia (7) | |
| 4 | Almetyevsk (3) | Ryazan (6) | |