Result
5:2
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:59, 1 - 0, Agafonov M. (G), Galiyev E. (A),
- 17:10, 2 - 0, Volokitin P. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:04, 2 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G),
- 11:06, 2 - 2, Makeyev N. (G),
- 19:26, 3 - 2, Shcherbakov N. (G), Nabiev A. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:32, 4 - 2, Nabiev A. (G),
- 16:31, 5 - 2, Khvorov N. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Budnitsky V. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toros Neftekamsk
41.8% | Draw
25.9% | Norilsk
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norilsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.63) |
3.56 ↓
(4.17) |
2.84 ↓
(4.08) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toros (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.
- Toros could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Norilsk?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Norilsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk were as follows:
27.10.2025
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
1:2
18.01.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
0:2
03.11.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:2
02.02.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:4
20.09.2023
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
4:3
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 61 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 222:130 | 104 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak ✔ | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky ✔ | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia ✔ | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 62 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 146:151 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 60 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 156:162 | 62 |
| 21 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 22 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 61 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 123:151 | 60 |
| 23 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 62 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 130:181 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 61 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 117:181 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
