Result
5:2
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:59, 1 - 0, Agafonov M. (G), Galiyev E. (A),
- 17:10, 2 - 0, Volokitin P. (G),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:04, 2 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G),
- 11:06, 2 - 2, Makeyev N. (G),
- 19:26, 3 - 2, Shcherbakov N. (G), Nabiev A. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:32, 4 - 2, Nabiev A. (G),
- 16:31, 5 - 2, Khvorov N. (G), Sorokin Y. (A), Budnitsky V. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toros Neftekamsk
41.8% | Draw
25.9% | Norilsk
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norilsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norilsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.63) |
3.56 ↓
(4.17) |
2.84 ↓
(4.08) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toros will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toros (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.
- Toros could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 2.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Norilsk?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Norilsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Norilsk were as follows:
27.10.2025
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
1:2
18.01.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
0:2
03.11.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:2
02.02.2024
Norilsk
-
Toros Neftekamsk
3:4
20.09.2023
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Norilsk
4:3
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
