Result
3:2 penalties
19/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 08:47, 1 - 0, Poroshkov D. (G), Solovyov Y. (A), Rogov I. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 07:16, 1 - 1, Gimbatov R. (G), Korbit P. (A), Shatilo I. (A2)
- 15:26, 2 - 1, Prokhorov A. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
- 15:35, 2 - 2, Sorokin Y. (G), Chyorny A. (A), Orlov G. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Solovyov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Yapparov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Korbit P. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Poroshkov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Gimbatov R. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Khulapov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Savvateyev V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Zvezda Moscow
39.6% | Draw
25.5% | Toros Neftekamsk
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.07) |
3.67 ↓
(3.84) |
2.67 ↓
(3.08) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.
- Recent form of Zvezda Moscow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toros has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zvezda Moscow might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zvezda Moscow won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Zvezda Moscow has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Zvezda Moscow?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk were as follows:
07.12.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
3:2
12.03.2025
Zvezda Moscow
-
Toros Neftekamsk
6:0
03.09.2024
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
1:2
13.12.2023
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
4:1
31.10.2023
Zvezda Moscow
-
Toros Neftekamsk
2:3
Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 60 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 215:128 | 102 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 61 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 144:144 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 21 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 22 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 60 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 118:151 | 58 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 61 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 128:177 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
