Result
3:2 penalties
19/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 08:47, 1 - 0, Poroshkov D. (G), Solovyov Y. (A), Rogov I. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 07:16, 1 - 1, Gimbatov R. (G), Korbit P. (A), Shatilo I. (A2)
- 15:26, 2 - 1, Prokhorov A. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
- 15:35, 2 - 2, Sorokin Y. (G), Chyorny A. (A), Orlov G. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Solovyov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Yapparov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Korbit P. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Poroshkov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Gimbatov R. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Khulapov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Savvateyev V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Zvezda Moscow 39.6% | Draw 25.5% | Toros Neftekamsk 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.07) |
3.67 ↓ (3.84) |
2.67 ↓ (3.08) |
7.2% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.
- Recent form of Zvezda Moscow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toros has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zvezda Moscow might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zvezda Moscow won against Toros Neftekamsk?
Zvezda Moscow has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toros Neftekamsk won against Zvezda Moscow?
Toros Neftekamsk has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk were as follows:
07.12.2025
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
3:2
12.03.2025
Zvezda Moscow
-
Toros Neftekamsk
6:0
03.09.2024
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
1:2
13.12.2023
Toros Neftekamsk
-
Zvezda Moscow
4:1
31.10.2023
Zvezda Moscow
-
Toros Neftekamsk
2:3
Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)