Result
1:2 penalties
20/07/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS
- Referee: Orlic I. (Mda)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Croatia | Arena Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Sarajevo 61.3% | Draw 22.5% | Torpedo Kutaisi 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarajevo's performance.Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Kutaisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Kutaisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.85) |
4.17 ↑ (3.6) |
6.04 ↑ (4) |
6.6% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi?
Users Predictions:
Sarajevo will win
(22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
- Sarajevo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Torpedo Kutaisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sarajevo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Torpedo Kutaisi have a series of home games.
- In this match Sarajevo is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Sarajevo to win the game is with odds 1.68.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarajevo won against Torpedo Kutaisi?
Sarajevo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Torpedo Kutaisi won against Sarajevo?
Torpedo Kutaisi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi were as follows:
13.07.2023
Torpedo Kutaisi
-
Sarajevo
2:2
Latest results of Sarajevo
Latest results of Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal