Sarajevo vs Torpedo Kutaisi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
20/07/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Orlic I. (Mda)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarajevo
61.3%
Draw
22.5%
Torpedo Kutaisi
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 26% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarajevo's performance.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Kutaisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Kutaisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.85)
    4.17
    (3.6)
    6.04
    (4)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi?
  • Users Predictions: Sarajevo will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.83%96.13%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Sarajevo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Torpedo Kutaisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sarajevo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Torpedo Kutaisi have a series of home games.
    • In this match Sarajevo is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Sarajevo to win the game is with odds 1.68.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi were as follows:
    13.07.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo 2:2
    Latest results of Sarajevo
    13.07.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo 2:2
    06.07.2023 Sarajevo - Domžale 3:1
    01.07.2023 Sarajevo - Nafta 1:0
    Latest results of Torpedo Kutaisi
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2