Toshiba Brave Lupus vs Suntory Sungoliath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Japan League One Rugby Union Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath
Result
43:33
15/02/2025 at 00:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: League One - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 1

Match Stats

Tries
74
Conversion Goals
42
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
03
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (31 - 18)
  • 6', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 8', Tokunaga Y. (Try),
  • 10', Hashimoto R. (Try),
  • 15', Naikabula J. (Try),
  • 16', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Naikabula J. (Try),
  • 24', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Niguma H. (Try),
  • 28', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 36', Matsunaga T. (Try),
  • 40+3', Mo'unga R. (Try),
  • 40+5', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 15)
  • 47', Takamoto M. (Try),
  • 51', Punivai I. (Try),
  • 52', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Thompson R. (Try),
  • 71', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Hashimoto D. (Try),

Chances of winning


Toshiba Brave Lupus
66.4%
Draw
3.6%
Suntory Sungoliath
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 3.8% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toshiba Brave Lupus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toshiba Brave Lupus than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toshiba Brave Lupus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.32)
    25.67
    (23)
    3.03
    (3.35)
    9.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toshiba Brave Lupus won 3.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Toshiba Brave Lupus is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Toshiba Brave Lupus to win the game is with odds 1.37.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Toshiba Brave Lupus won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 277:353 (average 25.2:32.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toshiba Brave Lupus won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 156:182 (average 26:30.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath 28:20
    26.04.2024 Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath 36:27
    17.12.2023 Suntory Sungoliath - Toshiba Brave Lupus 19:26
    05.02.2023 Toshiba Brave Lupus - Suntory Sungoliath 34:40
    Latest results of Suntory Sungoliath
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toshiba Brave LupusBye
    2Shizuoka Blue RevsKobe Steel20 : 35
    3Wild KnightsBye
    4Spears KubotaSuntory Sungoliath20 : 15

    Semi-finals
    1Toshiba Brave LupusKobe Steel31 : 3
    2Wild KnightsSpears Kubota24 : 28

    Final
    1Toshiba Brave LupusSpears Kubota18 : 13

    3rd place
    2Kobe SteelWild Knights22 : 17