Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
52.6%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.4% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tottenham Hotspur's performance.
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.07)
    4.03
    (3.78)
    4.06
    (3.39)
    4.1%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 5.
    • Recent performances by Tottenham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leeds is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tottenham might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:2
    28.05.2023 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:4
    12.11.2022 Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United 4:3
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 35237567:264176
    2Manchester City ✔ 33217566:293770
    3Manchester Utd ✔ 351810763:481564
    4Liverpool351771159:471258
    5Aston Villa351771148:44458
    6Bournemouth351216755:52352
    7Brentford351491252:46651
    8Brighton3513111149:42750
    9Chelsea341391253:45848
    10Fulham351461544:49-548
    11Everton341381341:41047
    12Sunderland3512111237:46-947
    13Newcastle351361649:51-245
    14Leeds3510131247:52-543
    15Crystal Palace3411101336:42-643
    16Nottingham341091541:45-439
    17Tottenham359101645:54-937
    18West Ham35991742:61-1936
    19Burnley ✔ 35482335:71-3620
    20Wolves ✔ 35392325:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Burnley is Relegated to Championship
    Wolves is Relegated to Championship